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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ( T& P, ~/ k% m! ?
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其实原文标题不是这样的 c' @8 D4 [% m1 ^6 q
. p4 L$ ^9 O' n: i这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
7 H) ?) E: L+ C/ G. e# m0 p7 {9 ?$ B. M0 c3 T3 [( e6 ]; H% s9 |* K
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝.... l: t, v3 p& t0 f5 l: b& l& P
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
1 r; } j/ N9 Q0 U S* ^9 y; g- L% q) D/ h# F0 G3 a3 m* M: C
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
" m0 n$ y( k! B
% n: W2 F8 r G& {6 k: N 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
% z" X" q7 B- s& w8 T# D9 ^ ( N& d& |. h% E" G0 n/ T+ F+ A
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 " u# L$ v. C# t3 R$ ~; w1 b: \& J$ R
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」' q, K3 N+ Z0 {/ F' V& V; l
( I+ p7 S; I; p3 ]
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。+ L' z5 [9 s2 G
$ O1 }$ V7 Z, M; o. n9 r7 ^
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，& i6 l, e( Q1 L3 ^
因此铜板较容易出现正面。" s; v7 e0 Y7 A( B9 r% w1 q
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 % q% L' G* [4 x5 x( P
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
: G- Z1 X# \( {' {心想赢定了。
/ T9 k* r& N4 c; ~! Y) H: O: \0 u: {
- V. y- l- Q$ a0 }: O$ e+ i( Y; y没想到开始不到半刻钟，/ S9 P" p& n% X5 J, m/ L( V4 ^6 T
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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# r; J! ` K) k0 j. f- \0 }赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，9 b7 E, ]- K9 O+ ?
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
/ }$ X/ ? S% c3 _
$ E* s; W3 o2 ]赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
* o! E# M* P' u7 e他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
& f8 c% ?1 W+ I( J3 S4 `0 Q6 \
上帝回答道：3 c5 b/ ]1 [8 C) H3 P% r: J0 X; _- |1 n
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」0 ]) g' P' f4 l3 F+ D
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
/ n6 S1 z& w4 u* b, B3 l, M「而不是先发生在我身上。」( Z1 f; r6 I5 S& m4 h6 A/ L& E
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赌徒恍然大悟，
2 d4 h% R# ]+ n原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
# M2 D- S5 N8 Y; N竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
3 s6 n b$ \5 B* v3 y「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」7 o5 x5 V5 H* k& S0 }) P
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
6 S& L1 j+ r4 u" s5 i- D" j$ _# j f若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
& K5 c. U, V. a; ?% E" a& t1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，+ o4 o3 Z" m0 S; \
对赌徒十分有利。0 I0 w# n2 Z5 d; C6 Q+ b
/ E9 U/ d3 G" E: b- ^( o4 {0 e! Q6 \
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
( @2 ?, N6 D& e( Q4 m' w在还没掷到1000次之前，
$ p+ U8 W6 s7 j1 i8 W7 Q7 r仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
, Z \% t- a# e% N* N( {4 H& M1 d; ~, ?6 [ s8 Q5 x! ?
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
0 B" u/ N8 u8 T+ Q6 u$ g
% t6 N) r# F3 u h& i% n# q 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。" B# Q' @$ H( M/ G2 K8 b
" T( \ f5 {& F1 I4 o 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
+ s. r7 X( d9 l% f9 {* b6 K( I/ O
8 w" Y4 Q+ t% @, }, Q3 B 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ ( V5 ]8 t5 S3 {& {* y3 M1 I
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