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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊正取代比特币主导币圈？ETF连续六日净流入超越比特币（转）
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! T) M) {$ F/ Y! }: C 自5月以来，美国现货以太坊ETF持续获得资金净流入。在过去六个交易日中，以太坊ETF净流入近24亿美元，远超同期比特币ETF的8.27亿美元。且以太坊ETF在这六个交易日中每天的净流入均超过比特币。
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3 l. f9 V% I) p2 P3 d; l) C 过去几周，以太坊表现远超比特币，两者的价格比率自此前创下的2019年以来低点强劲反弹。# b' n( t- t( ?, l% n- M2 a
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以太坊CME期货相较现货的年化溢价已超过10%，超过比特币的水平，促使一些头寸从比特币转向以太坊。+ |( X T2 v" T t
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& h- b. |; a2 E& e* T 自5月以来，美国现货以太坊ETF持续获得资金净流入。在过去六个交易日中，以太坊ETF净流入近24亿美元，远超同期比特币ETF的8.27亿美元。且以太坊ETF在这六个交易日中每天的净流入均超过比特币。$ n2 ^) G l8 I: p7 ?
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2 d8 j! i- E- p& U, e: X. H7 H' H 高盛加密团队指出，与越来越多企业将比特币纳入财务储备类似，近期一些美国上市公司也开始建立以太坊储备。据估计，这些公司在过去一个月共购入超15亿美元ETH。
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其中，BitMine Immersion Technologies在过去16天内购买价值20亿美元的ETH，现已成为企业中最大的以太坊持有者。: B, k" Z; W& V4 P+ ]$ ~( |9 ~3 Q
* p+ s0 s# ]/ Y 当前以太坊前十大持有者（包括美国ZF）合计持有超160万枚ETH（价值约合60亿美元），部分机构的持仓已超过以太坊基金会。这一规模仍仅占以太坊约4000亿美元流通供应的一小部分，也低于过去一年流通的1750亿美元ETH。) T+ d0 l( F1 ^# o& ~
' t/ x- L/ S7 i; V* {5 F8 v5 J l Galaxy Digital首席执行官Michael Novogratz 预测，ETH价格将升至4000美元，并将在未来六个月跑赢比特币。他指出，BitMine和SharpLink Gaming近期大量购入ETH，可能引发供应冲击。
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/ F; B( k1 P" N+ x' d1 v 全球M2货币供应量（包括美国、欧元区、日本、英国和加拿大）上升，意味着市场流动性充裕，这有望推动更多资本流入高风险资产如加密货币。7 j, O7 m+ B0 Y
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以太坊在2025年似乎正在跟随类似的M2供应增长轨迹（基于Wyckoff积累模型），尽管存在一定滞后。6 ~6 m5 F3 g% {1 y3 c" ~
: }0 Y) i, i: i7 G' j" O. t 分析师TedPillows在X平台表示：“若与M2增长趋势对应，ETH当前应已突破8000美元。这表明ETH当前被严重低估，可能是当下最具潜力的交易之一。”
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6 l' _ i& r1 D3 j, b. @ 本周一，现货比特币ETF结束了连续12个交易日的资金净流入，当日录得1.31亿美元净流出。此前12日累计净流入高达66亿美元。瑞士区块链研究机构Swissblock预计此趋势将持续，认为：“随着市场进入新一轮周期，9 a& O5 E* f) j7 W2 `# d3 f7 L
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ETH正取代BTC成为市场主导。”7 E$ ]; ]" ]* t* x# g- k+ G" ~
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