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[lastpost] => 2761080 按下加速键的以太坊万亿雄心,我们将见证一波「回迁潮」?(转) 1756468874 mattf
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[虚拟币交流]
8月19号行情分析,BTCETH 反弹乏力陷震荡,山寨流动性不足同步走弱
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行情回顾:老大
* x/ G0 A4 t1 R1 ~+ `2 f昨日最高: ` s* I) L; F. o
117543/ I- p+ K( c3 J: E/ T
,最低( S7 r. z+ u/ }- m# c+ G
114640) V W, Q4 b4 P) M8 E
,波动) l% T; y5 w# _9 j ~8 T( Y
2903/ K+ O6 f j% x$ j% k
个点,
1 z3 r6 N! q9 ^3 j. R+ }老二
: g5 N0 P8 e# |$ x9 o昨日最高:/ V1 i b$ L0 E- W& d( ]1 D5 g
4481,
* y7 o; K" l1 W; ^+ D0 k最低:
* s3 J. w# F& t N4225
0 u0 e7 V3 c" E: h$ }6 d2 _,波动
+ P& |5 ~3 H% j& C/ D2569 j% S1 W( |; m5 s
个点,昨天
$ E& a( M3 T% S3 Z6 j周一
9 f& V+ l0 k4 MBTC 昨日日线收出 “金针半阴” 形态,凌晨反抽至 117 位置后再度回落,反弹力度不及预期,短期大概率进入震荡区间。尽管昨日日线收于 116 位置,暂未完全跌破该日线支撑,但凌晨反抽后迅速下行的走势,也反映出当前行情动能偏弱。ETH 表现同样疲软,昨日收线 4345 美元,未能站稳 4350 美元关键位。日内跌破 4350 后,一度下探至 4200 美元附近并收针反弹,但反弹力度有限 —— 凌晨最高仅触及 4390 美元,连 4400 美元关口都未试探,整体反弹动能明显不足。山寨币方面,始终受困于流动性短缺:此前 ETH(二饼)上涨时,山寨就萎靡不振;如今 BTC、ETH 在高位回踩,山寨表现更显弱势。不过因流动性不足,山寨虽同步下跌,但跌幅相对可控,基本与 BTC、ETH 保持同比例下跌,甚至部分币种跌幅还小于 ETH,这种 “弱跟随” 走势,本质是流动性匮乏导致的行情低迷
! L2 G9 g9 z8 ~+ A' Q+ @今日周二看点:& F' I1 x$ e9 Z/ y7 t
BTC
7 p2 U( |9 [( @+ S( a) eBTC在凌晨反抽弱势表现,尤其在四小时级别上的表现连续两个上插针触及117位置,这次的四小时级别更是在上冲无力只是直接开始回调下跌,按照这个情况来讲,今天的日内级别还会走跌一波,收线关注的点位就得先看下昨天的低点位置,如果说连续两个四小时级别收阴的情况,那么今天日内级别上要注意的支撑位置在113-114区间的位置才会有日内级别的反弹,上方的阻力位置看先在哪里去触及,如果日内级别上触及了支撑113-114区间再进行反抽的话,上方也就是在116-118区间再成立阻力点,如果日内的低点不去打破1145位置一线止跌反弹,上方还是需要关注震荡的区间118-119. f. h; U" R$ Y: l( t# o
ETH
7 ~+ i; }0 h% ]) y" o% Q' FETH行情走势看着跌幅百分比是很弱势,但是要考虑到最近二饼的行情在这轮的表现中很强势,所以有这种级别的回调属于很正常的范围,尤其是从高点下来到现在回调总计600个点,所以目前整体的日线级别防守的支撑位置在4000-4200区间,四小时级别上走跌,可以日内级别关注这个位置的支撑防守,精准点可以关注4150附近的支撑位置,日内级别先看支撑防守再看反弹的力度,目前的走势属于一个走跌行情,行情偏弱,做合约的注意,昨天在视频中讲到过这方面
7 \; \( V& m: N( d山寨1 Q3 b% }, O# r/ |
关于山寨币的整体走势,核心逻辑依然没变:当前市场行情走弱,叠加流动性匮乏、资金进场不足,直接导致山寨币陷入当前的低迷状态。也就是说,市场并非像部分人预期的那样已进入好行情,至少在我看来,“山寨季” 目前尚未到来,也没有出现的迹象。眼下的山寨币缺乏板块效应与热点带动,整体走势自然难以强势,但阶段性的交易机会仍可把握。
( Q- ?$ Y3 t ^% w; Y V7 C若近期有埋伏或关注计划,核心重点建议放在 LINK,ENA 与 SOL 的走势上,可重点跟踪动向寻找机会
' T: v" Z$ K' o3 [) \+ E关于现在操作我们需要注意的点
& q7 T) O% y j' J. h3 ~- ?第一要素:求稳
: _1 v# w$ S) [7 ?0 n6 H; n可以少赚点,因为钱你赚不完,但是亏得完。挑选币种也是一样,稳中求胜,一步一个脚印!
W! ~) ?# s7 k$ Q* V) E第二要素:修复性强
5 \- ^0 s, M, W! q. \) b以太坊这几个月底部涨上来。但是很多山寨币还在低点。市场如战场,波动是常态,唯有以稳为基、以强为本,才能笑到最后!" M. e8 B6 f8 |& W1 x* `
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