×
Array
(
[fid] => 6934
[description] => 新人学习的板块，以便快速熟悉论坛
[password] =>
[icon] => 10/common_6934_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[981] => 板块公告
[982] => 新手课堂
[983] => 新手提问
[984] => 新手任务
[987] => 活动推介
[986] => 综合讨论
[1103] => 实战交流
[1526] => 自我介绍
[1527] => 首次擂台投注
[1528] => 存款直升
[1529] => 提款直升
)
[icons] => Array
(
[981] =>
[982] =>
[983] =>
[984] =>
[987] =>
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[981] => 1
[982] => 1
[983] =>
[984] => 1
[987] => 1
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#FF00CC";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"48";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 新手大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 7
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 7796
[posts] => 55398
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 17
[oldrank] => 17
[lastpost] => 2759671 新人自我介绍 1757050097 箜篌引
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 1
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ; Q* D$ j: E" D) r' C
8 D4 r/ x4 m, v! ?
其实原文标题不是这样的% `, ?3 }1 u9 T' t2 \5 D
+ u% o1 K7 ]0 z
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
* G8 O6 a! F8 A, ~! R5 X' y3 g" b5 ^
, y, I4 k5 b- m- {! n
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
! ^5 M) b: v% j% z; L* E他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
# l% l3 l* q/ @- F" E( @' q" j
0 U% ^, ~( F1 o1 V 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
7 B# i) M [2 a! \. r. o, P4 X2 b5 r0 V7 W6 ~) k! C* F$ ^
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
7 T. @& J! G9 P
2 k+ e# _- L6 ?7 ^「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 / x# g3 \7 z6 k5 A
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
/ T) w6 F- [( u- K6 r" [- a7 Z' o- f+ B2 t( L0 f
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。) m/ a+ a; z/ {$ ~4 j+ |5 @: r4 \' o
1 }8 G1 b) g0 T- l. |4 Z! K
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
3 D9 c% I6 |, _! q/ u+ B# L2 t: i因此铜板较容易出现正面。1 [3 [9 p3 \4 V% ~$ M$ R& F
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 9 T" H0 q% [ `. R! Z" }
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
# k/ O6 e& \2 O0 g4 @4 i' V* @心想赢定了。, V9 A9 l% ^: Q! {( K+ U
# Z6 J' z& X3 \0 o) m. E8 \没想到开始不到半刻钟，
2 v1 l r: @- O1 s* l3 g5 e赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
" N0 O% e- _+ m* l# Q) ?: c
, d' e# L- {. |& b8 f7 G赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，& `/ {/ K- S( C. q
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
: T* w! c7 D7 d( c8 C F
7 J/ I5 }$ D. @. X' f9 G赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
2 ?% }% ?% S% b. z" @/ N他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 4 E! ~4 l6 R3 o! v/ T; J5 b
上帝回答道：/ K' O9 Y! ?. M: ~; q2 |
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」 ?( `, N) H/ A1 g& Y; D$ V: |- D" `
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
: O: v+ \( p/ a# R; d9 q7 ]% f- s「而不是先发生在我身上。」
) v# [0 t0 a+ F2 |' x4 c. m; C$ Z* |7 B8 s6 p) B
赌徒恍然大悟，- @& D5 _, y3 U: R! T
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，+ s, Y( D% x! o. D( O9 k
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
% [9 D' p( E% S8 x「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」1 ]0 b7 q7 [. e- X/ n U
上帝说完便不见踪影。
, P% j4 m5 r' R5 g1 ]
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，0 i! U/ y" ~# j4 b) Q' {
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
+ a' Y! M1 A q$ V0 r5 V1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，# U! ]# k+ z3 p6 A
对赌徒十分有利。
3 x5 f0 }3 A9 w. W+ |' M- c: b- B
1 M2 R2 x0 h- D6 G" k但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
5 s' j u( r4 w, @在还没掷到1000次之前，
( M: u0 i& V0 G9 i+ Q仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
; x+ w! N! X& x' _9 d5 p, }# q9 ?" }, {# J+ p. }3 s
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。: k& ~* J) R; ?# a' a0 \6 h
9 q6 Y3 R7 u1 q: b. s0 e0 j+ g/ C/ U
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
3 M+ x' @0 Z p, B- K0 q, N3 k, v% z$ N3 J8 p3 v, n& d# J
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板， l" P: o! m$ b* S
) e4 q$ W0 D, s1 a 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 7 I$ x V% L5 F: I
1 {1 {+ o# U; ] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
