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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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欧盘是欧洲博采公司开出的博采赔率, 投注的对象包罗万有,并非只限于足球博采, 当然,我们只关心足球博彩这一部份, 由于每场比赛只存在三种结果,即胜、负、平三种可能,因此对比赛分别开设三种结果的赔率。下面举一个例子来
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说明:
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例如冠军杯皇马主场对拜仁,欧盘开出为主队2.25、平局3.00、客队3.00,
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" h. M$ C' o" o$ I0 p亦即是说: 9 u) E2 U& v: F% Z$ c7 a
5 b D9 G* g, t4 a; ^你若博皇马胜下注100元, 若主队胜出你就赢得利润125元, % \0 w4 O, `6 Z* ^; H2 y
+ c* B) w( P! |/ W6 T你若博两队打平下注100元, 若主队胜出你就赢得利润200元,
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你若博拜仁胜下注100元, 若主队胜出你就赢得利润200元, 6 Q% X& E' w7 w6 }, K+ D1 D( A
2 h5 ~7 A" T2 R% m W2 E5 Z* r2 N9 V有一点要注意:赔率已包含有投注的本金,,所以计算利润的时候要除去本金的数目 。 : [% [3 R6 `7 c, }. s) \8 x
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那么,这个赔率又是怎样开出来的,代表了什么含义呢?其实就是博采公司通过分析对阵双方的各种资讯,诸如出场阵容,以往交手战绩,主队主场战绩,客队客场战绩,在联赛中的成绩排位,球队最近的状态斗志,俱乐部的运作情况等等方面因素之后,估算出这场赛事胜、平、负三种结果的概率,然后再通过一个公式来计算出各自应开的赔率, 这个公式就是: + C0 v; ^5 U4 L* \
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A÷B=C-C10%=D 5 A K5 f1 M e- J5 S6 l; Y1 W
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A就是计算百份比概率的基数100%
" q* {' P6 L; ~; |B就是博采公司分析得出的百份比概率
* n i" C* S {& HC就是A÷B得出的结果%
0 |, `; z( _& M, LD就是最后计算出来的赔率 7 c# X8 e y0 q/ M
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还是以上面的例子来解析,比如博彩公司通过分析得出皇马胜出的概率为40%,那么就用这个公式来计算如下:
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" ? C. P6 F$ _% x. a 第一步、100÷40=2.5% 6 }, b9 U; L$ `) B6 a- Z
4 l! @1 A) }' R4 L% g 第二步、2.5-10%=2.25%
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' a H" M% d' ~4 x: H# Q那么,博彩公司就会开出皇马胜的赔率为2.25% ( O$ T+ ?( w% e
1 P: O- b% p, y* g ]如此类推,如博彩公司通过分析得出打平和拜仁胜的概率各为30%,那么就用这个公式来计算如下: : ^2 e! A. W/ f; u& A4 }
1 y$ i" g4 f% k- E 第一步、100÷30=3.33 % _6 K7 T U9 h" s& W; r
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第二步、3.33-10%=3% 9 [( T, _5 g; _3 T; O
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那么,博彩公司就会开出平局和拜仁胜的赔率都是3.00,于是,我们就看到这场比赛开出的欧盘是2.25---3.00---3.00%
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反过来,若是对欧赔有深入研究的朋友一看到这个赔率,就知道主队胜的概率是四成,打平的概率是三成,客队胜的概率是三成。所以我们把百份比概率中的绝大部份有用的数据都计算了一遍, 以下就是计算出来的数据列表: ( j' r2 ? b8 f8 k6 O
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1.10=81% 1.12=80% 1.14=79%1.15=78% 1.16=77% 1.17=76% 1.20=74-75% 4 O& I1 W3 s6 c% O7 X) C3 M! Y
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1.22=73% 1.25=71-72% 1.28=70% 1.30=69% 1.33=67-68% 1.36=65-66%
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2 s+ A$ L" e9 h, H/ X5 @" ?! P1.40=63-64% 1.45=61-62% 1.5=60% 1.53=59% 1.55=58% 1.57=57% 1.60=56% ! T5 ?2 X4 H" f m; i" N# C
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1.62=55% 1.65=54% 1.70=53% 1.72=52% 1.75=51% 1.80=50% 1.85=48-49%
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1.90=46-47% 2.00=44-45% 2.10=42-43% 2.20=41% 2.25=40% 2.30=39% " {+ V C1 x4 ^' c( a2 i
3 i& F4 S/ M# r) `: ^2.35=38% 2.40=37%2.50=36%2.60=35%2.65=34%2.70=33%2.80=32%2.90=30-31% 9 _) l4 I" |8 |
0 v' s; C& H- L- V3.00=29% 3.20=28% 3.30=27% 3.40=26% 3.60=25% 3.70=24% 3.90=23% / x3 ?; Z/ {' {' Y2 Q. U6 K9 f
+ H0 _) B. A2 ]/ A4.00=22% 4.20=21% 4.50=22% 4.70=19% 5.00=18% 5.30=17% 5.50=16%
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' b" k( V' m* M4 I; j6.00=15% 6.50=14% 7.00=13% 7.50=12% 8.00=11% 9.00=10% 10.00=9%
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11.00=8% 12.00=7% 15.00=6% 18.00=5% 23.00=4% 30.00=3% 6 \( \( U$ P5 J$ A
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下面说一下怎样来运用这个数据列表:
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假设我们看到某场比赛的欧赔为主队1.80,平局3.20,客队4.00,通过数据列表我们就可知道博彩公司认为主队胜的概率为50%,打平的概率为28%,客队胜的概率为22%,一目了然,简单实用,有一些差别细微的赔率列表中没有列出的,我们可以取它的左右平均值,如赔率3.10即=28.5%的概率。欧洲有许多博彩公司,彼此的消息来源不同,对不同比赛肯定也有着不同的看法。但这种分歧不应该过大,如果分析各个公司的赔率,发现某个公司的赔率与其他公司的赔率明显不同,那么往往意味着这家公司对这场比赛有着更准确的判断。
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美式赔率基础
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0 ~+ H2 t4 v" C% V3 n4 x7 T 在国外的博彩公司网站上我们经常可以看到陪率显示为“-110”或“+108”。这是什么意思呢?我们在这里给大家解释一下。 0 O0 C) Y& C4 x& F8 }
3 A# X5 k4 l6 z4 M9 w6 ?& d+ p) `1.凡是数字前面是减号就表示你需要付出多少本金以赢得以100为基数的利润。比如“-110”就表示你如果想赢100就需要付出110的成本。简单点说就是出110博100。“-500”的意思是要赢的100利润就要投500本金。
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2.另外一种情况,数字前面是加号的就好理解了,表示出100本金可以赢得的利润。“+104”表示出100可以赢104利润,“+450”表示出100可以赢450利润。
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把美式陪率换算成欧式陪率也很简单,分两种情况:
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1.数字前面是减号的,就用100除以减号后数字加1。比如“-110”计算成欧赔公式为:100÷110+1=0.91+1=1.91。“-500”计算成欧赔公式为:100÷500+1=0.20+1=1.20 |
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