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[虚拟币交流]
比特币主导地位创三年新高，但面临历史性的八月至九月暴跌（转）
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币界网报道：; W! e# P6 G* N8 M+ S% F+ U
根据 CoinGecko 的最新数据，比特币对加密货币市场的控制力不断增强，其平均市场主导地位在 2025 年达到 59.3%，连续第三年上涨。 这一趋势表明，全球最大的数字资产将进入更加稳定和成熟的阶段，这主要是由于通过现货比特币 ETF 等产品增加的机构参与。 十年变迁：比特币的历史主导地位过去十年，比特币的市场份额发生了巨大变化。2013年至2016年期间，其主导地位[url=]接近绝对[/url]，平均在83%到93%之间。 这种情况在2017-2018年的ICO热潮中发生了改变，当时涌现出一波新的山寨币，将投资者的注意力和资金从比特币上转移开。结果，比特币的主导地位在2018年1月跌至31.1%的历史低点。随后几年，比特币的主导地位有所回升，到2020年，其主导地位一直徘徊在60%-70%之间。 尽管有所下跌，但比特币在接下来的几年里开始重新夺回其地位。从2019年到2020年，在第三次减半、DeFi的兴起以及主要机构日益增长的兴趣的推动下，其主导地位徘徊在60%到70%之间。 比特币市场份额在下跌后回升2021 年和 2022 年是[url=]再次艰难[/url]比特币的主导地位。尽管价格屡创新高，但山寨币表现更佳，导致比特币的市场份额降至 38.6%。然而，2023 年情况发生了巨大变化。在监管进展和 ETF 等金融产品的推动下，比特币开始慢慢恢复势头。 有关的： [url=]2025 年山寨币季节：比特币主导地位下降，以太坊飙升 170%——爆发顶峰即将来临？[/url] 到 2025 年，比特币的主导地位将比 2023 年上升 20 个百分点以上。[url=]CoinGecko 的数据[/url]数据显示，每日波动幅度已趋于平缓，目前波动幅度在1.2%至1.6%之间。这与前几年每日波动幅度高达16个百分点的情况形成了鲜明对比。 未来会怎样？尽管趋势看涨，但风险依然存在。Lookonchain 的历史数据显示，8 月和 9 月对比特币而言一直是看跌的。 过去12年中，有8年价格在这些月份下跌。这意味着季节性下跌的可能性为67%。 有关的： [url=]比特币 MVRV 比率暗示价格“平衡”，但 BTC 反弹即将到来吗？[/url] 1 O4 i* V3 |0 q& j3 f* v6 L2 m
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比特币这波是真的稳，主导地位回归王者姿态，但季节性回调也别小看，八九月要稳住别上头！
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