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[lastpost] => 2773700 山寨季已不会再来，进化才是唯一出路（转） 1760482149 越前龙马
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当前离线
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2 @/ p9 m; K/ c( a1 a( t7 z: x 调整来临？今日，比特币突然跳水，此前大涨的黄金与日本股市也有所回落。( X8 W8 C+ Y2 X+ D7 L( B6 P- C
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截至发稿， 比特币跌幅超0.8%，跌破124000美元。以太坊、雪崩币等加密货币也纷纷走低。$ j1 X, a, u, V% l& T+ e
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, ~$ G6 |3 V8 M/ A1 B Coinglass网站数据显示，过去24小时内，虚拟货币共有超16万人爆仓。
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1 u6 \' W" l0 I! S 此前比特币已连续上涨，昨日，比特币一度冲高至126199美元左右，事实上，随着美联储降息周期开启，美元持续走弱，黄金、比特币等资产纷纷被抢购。今日，纽约期金一度涨至4000美元，不过，当前已有所回落。
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此外，美国ZF“关门”持续，日本与法国政坛的变动也导致避险资产更受青睐。9 p( l% S( Q3 n* K6 r
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不过，对于黄金等资产的暴涨，美国银行认为技术性调整或将来临。+ @' ~& N1 ?5 Q3 ]: P. T0 l
" x* z" {; D E6 { 美国银行分析师Paul Ciana在一份研究报告中表示，从技术分析来看，随着金价逼近每盎司4000美元关口，其上涨趋势已显现“动能耗尽”的迹象。这位首席技术策略师指出，若此趋势延续，金价可能在第四季度进入盘整或回调阶段。
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$ R& ]! ~1 _, [" ~ Ciana称：“从趋势跟踪与风险管理角度出发，目前更适合上调止损位、进行对冲操作，或减少部分多头持仓。”他进一步补充，黄金涨势可能“动能耗尽”的信号包括：当前金价较其200日简单移动平均线高出约21%——而金价在该均线
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& R) E: p" Y& H) e- P1 x, n0 C" n0 A以上21%的位置往往容易出现峰值，若涨幅接近25%，峰值出现的概率会更高。
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. C! H: c' B' j5 _ 在今日股市方面，虽然亚太主要股指收盘多数上涨。但日经225指数尾盘回落仅涨0.01%报47950.88点，此前一度涨破48500点。1 T5 L8 x' r8 E' l/ q
' x, N" ^% b0 e5 T! r 权重股方面，丰田汽车涨1.65%，KDDI电信涨1.44%，软银集团涨1.11%；日本电气跌2.93%，TOKYO ELECTRON跌1.57%，迅销跌1.28%。澳洲标普200指数跌0.21%报8956.80点。新西兰标普50指数涨0.31%报13531.290点。
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市场情绪转凉一瞬间，该来的回调还是来了。
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