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[lastpost] => 2690533 FTX 起诉币安与赵长鹏CZ，索回「18亿美元」股票回购款，到底发生了什么？ 1731545020 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开
6 s2 \9 C& F; }4 B9 s始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。% {" c, `* U! Y; Y* k1 d. [) ?- I
然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,4006 h8 N: o& O) L
美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。* H" t) K1 C0 }4 c% g Y0 k, u
以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796
' a$ ?2 T" B1 z3 p7 N, v美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。- S; t" C3 D/ Z& G4 L
过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元) @' a* g( y3 @1 a* |
受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿
9 _0 s. [2 o: Y0 y美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。7 O+ n! {* z2 U# N
另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高
2 Q5 s* j& Z, C# m# J460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。: E0 {; F z2 [( p; i) ~! |
联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息5 j, @& ]4 D! k3 [) b
美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。0 g g5 o. m, c2 I, h; p+ p
多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管0 t$ G1 h' T3 S- y- Q/ F i
「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有$ W, B Q* f" q9 Y
分歧。# o8 y' v4 t: ~, p' E3 f) M$ H9 w
7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引) {0 c; y4 i7 m/ e$ \ c4 N
方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。
& j W( @: m2 f1 n( A9月升息机率为13.5%' l+ O$ l5 M& `- d6 a7 g: U4 E2 i
据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而
0 U: [9 P: i% P5 a保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。
* N+ _5 {" m6 J8 \1 bFed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔5 r3 E: f. e- z
(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。- G0 n/ I0 x6 [. q: p0 c
& k: F: {' ~0 z" }8 ^
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