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[虚拟币交流]
联准会加息0.25、利率创22年新高！比特币冲高29700（转载）
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在今(27)日凌晨举办的美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上，联准会一如市场预测宣
. K) ~1 ^" P+ ?布升息一码，将基准利率调高至5.25%-5.50%，创下自2001年以来最高水平。
4 D) X4 }6 s& R7 B9 x4 M, ]7 R5 u鲍威尔：9月不排除连续升息6 C. j$ j( M6 J# C3 S6 @" G8 B
联准会声明同样保持先前立场，在实现2%的通胀目标之后，Fed才会考虑采取宽松的货币政策，并依旧将监测通
/ j2 E K$ N# h* b# J胀的滞后性：在确定额外政策紧缩程度以及当通胀率恢复到2%时，联准会才将考虑政策带来积累的紧缩、对经济
* ~& `- h/ j% t' i% y活动造成的影响，并持续勘测通胀的滞后性。( ?8 N- U" L) C" E8 E# H7 k* k0 v# e
联准会主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)也表示当前不排除于9月FOMC会议上连续升息的可能：如果有数据支持，我2 l2 o; | A# m' Y! `, j; X
们有可能在9月的会议上继续提高利率…在有信心通膨可持续回落至2%目标之前，我们打算维持限制性立场。
! c- C3 M+ }" x$ |4 ~. N/ j同时鲍威尔重申，联准会不太可能在今年降息，并指出部分FOMC成员已将明年降息纳入经济预测。根据
( c- [/ S) W9 ^ X, l. a W0 a2 pCMEGroup的FedWatch工具显示，市场当前认为联准会在9月继续加息的概率为22%，而保持当前利率水准的概
# d$ q0 `( d/ H4 y率为78%/ q9 x9 X9 Q% i0 r5 J+ x( O% u5 @
相信美国经济会软着陆
3 T9 H! S% d8 a0 ~! H至于短期的经济发展，当时6月的FOMC会议声明称经济活动持续以「适当的」(modest)的步伐扩张，本次声明% y" c* X! q' D- e( n: p
则称：经济活动一直以「温和的」(moderate)步伐扩张。. H: {5 _+ G& O2 H/ W7 V: k
鲍威尔仍相信，联准会可以带领美国经济软着陆，在维持限制性政策、通膨率下降的同时，避免引起严重的经济" L+ A: G% R t8 g% p: u: V
衰退。! }1 d& |4 B* \0 Z- d* Q
美股市场微跌，比特币突破$29,650* |" o3 K [% P1 F* h" N: ^0 m
由于升息一码符合市场此前的预期，因此美股市场并未发生过大的波动，四大指数市场表现如下：
+ m% f3 y9 Y! v5 S: A, t道琼工业指数上涨0.23%(82.05点)、收35,520.12点
! n/ \: {% R- i纳斯达克指数下跌0.12%(17.27点)、收14,127.28点
, d- r2 M% t' u4 l标准普尔500指数下跌0.02%(0.71点)、收4,566.75点
" f# E9 ~6 v! r4 I1 ]费城半导体指数下跌1.49%(55.89点)、收3,699.37点。
: T7 T% ^0 e# {值得注意的是，比特币在联准会公布升息消息后再震荡中开启一波小幅上涨，一度逼近$29,700。截稿前，比特币2 f' S* W, y% l
报价$29,342，近24小时涨幅0.5%。
: g3 ]( i6 J9 C5 y
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