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[虚拟币交流]
比特币跌破2.9万后回升!联准会官员:就业增长放缓 无需加息抗 膨(转载)
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美国劳工部昨(4)晚公布最新的非农就业数据结果爆冷,7月份的非农就业人数增加4 ~, m! V8 s$ R$ q8 e0 O% r1 D5 y
187,000人,低于预期的20万人,创下2020年12月以来最低记录。
( K8 ^6 V1 D6 T+ Y0 a市场认为本月的非农就业突显了经济降温的迹象,并预计将缓解联准会在下次会议上升息的压力。+ n% s5 U5 `) q, x6 e* B
不过另一方面,失业率数据从6月份的3.6%降至7月份的3.5%,仍接近半个世纪以来的最低水平;且另外一个对抗
1 ^! d) G/ b8 w% S( }; W通膨的关键指标,7月份平均时薪仍持续强劲成长,年增4.4%,高于市场预测的4.2%。5 F# s0 Q% D4 A% h
华尔街日报援引Glassdoor首席经济学家Daniel Zhao评论表示:就业市场仍处于缓慢但稳定的软着陆轨道上(通1 N i! U+ @) |1 s1 G
膨率回到联准会2%的目标),而没有出现经济衰退和严重失业的结果。2 ]/ y" ^" o- `: A) z) i2 ^
联准会官员:就业增长放缓,不再需升息来对抗通膨
/ ^7 g* |. d4 J9 [在周五的非农就业报告公布后,芝商所的FedWatch数据显示,市场预测联准会在下次利率会议上维持在现行利率
" w$ v8 J0 G5 m8 E+ `1 y; B1 S3 |, D区间5.25%~5.50%的机率高达87%,认为将再升息一码的机率则为13%。* C. _" Y! I6 o# m8 i
显示就业增长放缓的数据出来后,据财富周五报导,亚特兰大联邦准备银行行长Raphael Bostic公开表明他认为) s: J+ Q% Q) |! v' [1 v' r
没有必要进一步加息,我预计经济将以相当有序的方式放缓,而7月份的非农就业数据-18.7万人的增幅-将继续这
+ b0 q* I+ q. S8 T- r" x. r$ E一步伐,我预计这种情况不会在短时间内结束。
# k* Y. d2 ^6 i# x' H2 h/ RBostic重申联准会正走在回到2%通膨目标的轨道上,并且可以通过长期将利率维持在当前水平来实现这一目标。# v C- k- d( f9 E
“我们今天处于限制性立场,随着通膨持续下降,限制性程度实际上随着通膨率与利率之间差距的扩大而增加。
6 ?7 M3 X2 @5 l; ^所以我认为这将对经济施加足够的限制,使其继续放缓…我预计直到2024年,我们仍将处于限制性立场。”# l: x' m* G1 h# f% V* S& N0 |+ {
美股开高走低
L V" {9 m: _/ z; H昨日非农就业报告公布数据公布后,美股三大指数开高走低,一大影响是受苹果财报不佳,股价收盘大跌4.8%波
/ G5 ?* f9 U; V4 N* N及。
" D0 W; z8 @4 J2 F美股周五(4日)美股四大指数表现:
' j" x0 R8 H! e; E- u! @美股道琼指数下跌150.27点,或0.43%,收35,065.62点。
4 j8 P2 j5 j6 n0 t- e3 ~' ^6 V纳斯达克指数下跌50.48点,或0.36%,收13,909.24点。
1 A! d3 D: s6 Q5 t- E. `标普500指数下跌23.86点,或0.53%,收4,478.03点。
0 Y) @7 V3 a$ i: e8 {5 n% B- b费城半导体指数下跌8.87点,或0.24%,收3,699.20点。" f" i* ^$ M! @0 M) `5 l: n z
比特币跌破2.9万大关6 z/ a5 f0 r6 B4 u( z& ]2 m# q v
而比特币方面,今日清晨则一度失守29,000美元大关,深夜跌超1.6%最低来到28,807美元,但截稿前已站回9 _" ^2 _1 h' l. {; }6 h" R) `. w
29,084美元,近24小时下跌0.4%。) c7 h( X( m/ e! h
/ Z# u. Y) n. B8 x/ ]# z) d* q+ \9 b* u! T
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