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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
$ U3 ?& W$ O) g1 q l0 r5 f/ \行情补充、
4 x+ s. C q) b+ `9 k. Q: y( `在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 l3 k& A4 _/ ], ]; _* K0 {
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
# L* }5 V. s4 D2 W关于疑问、一一回复。 * w' Y: ], |2 E2 _ q9 ]$ b
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 3 f4 O# S4 \. Z# |
# K9 n/ r0 w4 v% O1 h3 N首先就个人的主观来说、
/ g* e$ J5 T% r3 A$ J4 t对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
( k3 o2 N* L0 N极度憧憬市场的未来！
: ~8 g$ ]8 V2 G& v7 M; }3 c但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 . y0 b2 A9 H/ b4 o
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 ! Y8 i( i; T- |9 V3 U' n) E
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 & z* I9 d' Y- n/ j' ]- q+ r Q0 ]. o
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 0 _# c. k0 V+ \; a
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
5 z3 L0 s* P* A7 T其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 $ z. A- _' b! X5 g7 Z2 \ I* h
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 5 }- Z9 {* I3 r# a* a+ @
为什么会跌、 ; ]; u# y' O( F& h/ ?* q
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 2 j: m6 w; n6 y8 X" X: w
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 # [; ~& \: t9 F. e7 K8 y* [3 M
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 # H9 _! u( n# _6 B& i! p3 Y- H
综上造成的下跌、
5 E4 ~% o) v8 t8 Z, m这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
, t1 N) g0 p$ ?+ H& H也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 : D$ o8 S* N" v" Y% s \; O; |
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
' W! E; Z0 ]; W来决定行情是否好转。 : O9 H9 _" ]' W G9 y
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 " c4 A1 _( c8 k" p
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
: X. g/ M- U1 l" z5 L* ]短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
( D. V4 E o! b2 {7 n+ f# S- M周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
3 a* a+ ^8 O5 o0 U7 }8 L那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 + j D g8 @% k7 t7 [! @$ @
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
9 p! w: I% u4 a2 ~) W日内大饼反弹、 9 g" w7 c4 @; o. T
26150高空 : }, e6 q4 a6 ^- G \+ G: j
26350补仓
' L* q! X9 L- K26550防守 & _) X8 ]9 t3 d/ f1 N$ X5 v# V5 H
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 ! I+ x4 q: O Y' |+ }; F! ^
以太反弹
( ?" j. P9 x, _* V# G3 @* T# @1380高空 ! `% {) P5 p4 \4 N& w+ b9 {
1400补仓
+ B2 `( v$ u% T! a$ U1420防守
$ `' f# A2 x4 w; B目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 % c3 p! {, U3 r; T# D X: ^( w' ]
附言、
4 ~5 L' \$ w7 v1 m2 j. o许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
* a* h1 l/ Z8 ~- s1 H; v# F1 g1 a% c是正常现象， ; X* d+ k B8 V
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
3 N* Y i* H& F. g对于市场、依旧未来可期。 1 ?) ^/ X* \4 o% e9 h! s4 B
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
d! k: u) [2 r% k2 R3 J2 u ?上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
- v( ]9 S. _. C& F5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
# F% I) {, R% C! f" q" s6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 # W8 J: v+ P: b1 P+ K% X1 g, K$ }& Z1 F
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
* D3 N, f1 W$ m' ]* I7 e9 U但现阶段，要承受的住。
- V2 S A$ v# O, B. J7 k最后再强调、现货勿割。
& L* o* M* W1 x9 v& r( G4 m25000的大饼 1300的以太、
* H. a4 [4 P4 X个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 7 T7 x7 [' e* y5 f( \% p4 h
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 ' M3 F1 |. @/ h3 d6 q' d( V: l
这个市场，
1 \! T; e8 ^7 Z消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 . Z+ y* y* H2 X
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
! A7 s5 o8 C5 S. W& B切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 ; z8 z K" R g0 h
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
# o- S' [* c; M" c @0 H$ a8 u2 K来源：金色财经 |
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