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比特币为何短暂暴跌丨特斯拉抛售75%BTC
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最近行情受美股影响,再加上消息面基本没有利空,大饼终于表现出强势的一面,短暂冲破了24000美元的强压位。
以太坊由于短期拉升强劲,再次冲破1600美元后回落,和ETC一样进入价格修正期。
如果在28号加息落地之前无法冲破1800至2000美元的强压位,那么在28号之后将非常有可能突破1800美元,8月以太坊突破2000美元的可能性非常大。因为8月份是没有美联储议息会议的,宏观经济因素带来的冲击会减弱。昨日凌晨加密市场受特斯拉财报的影响,整体回踩了一波。
电动汽车制造商特斯拉周三在财报中公布,该公司第二季度出售了价值9.36亿美元的比特币,占其所持比特币的75%,也就是约75%的比特币持仓被转换为法定货币。
该公司在第二季度末仅持有2.18亿美元的比特币,低于前三个季度的12.6亿美元。财报指出截至第二季度末,特斯拉已将购买的大约75%的比特币转换为法定货币,为其资产负债表增加了9.36亿美元的现金。
该公司在本季度持有约42000个比特币,因此如果它以9.36亿美元的价格售出其中的75%,则相当于每个比特币的平均售价约为29000美元。
第二季度结束时,比特币的价格约为18700美元,这意味着特斯拉通过在本季度早些时候出售比特币,避免了所持比特币的巨额减值费用。
另外根据分析师Brian Johnson的一份报告,特斯拉持有的大量比特币可能面临4.6 亿美元的减值损失,但该数字的前提是特斯拉第二季度没有出售或增加其比特币持仓。
根据数字资产的会计规则,如果资产价格在一个季度内下跌,公司必须报告减值损失,但如果价格上涨,除非出售资产,否则不会在资产负债表上报告为收益。通过出售比特币,特斯拉降低了持有比特币的减值费用。
加密市场对这一消息立即做出了反应。昨日凌晨4点比特币立即大幅下跌2.5%至23078美元,市值第二大的加密货币以太坊也下跌了3%。当然,狗狗币教父特斯拉CEO马斯克在特斯拉的财报电话会上也表示,特斯拉出售比特币是为了改善现金状况,出售加密货币不是对比特币的裁决。他还称对未来增持比特币持开放态度。马斯克认为特斯拉的目标是加速可持续能源的到来,而加密货币是次要事件中的次要事件。最后还没有忘记补充一句特斯拉没有出售狗狗币。另一方面根据区块链分析公司Glassnode的一份报告,卖家疲惫的迹象正在创造类似于比特币市场底部的条件。
已实现的损失,或出售资产所招致的损失,表明了投资者投降的程度。
稳定币 Terra USD及其配套代币LUNA,在5月的崩盘引发了30天内总计280亿美元的实际损失。当加密货币价格在6月18日跌破2017年的历史高点时,已实现损失在30天内跃升至创纪录的360亿美元。
随着散户和短期投资者在这些大规模抛售期间被赶出市场,持有者或对价格不敏感的长期投资者群体的饱和度上升,Holders越多,加密货币价格就越稳定,市场触底的可能性就越大。
存储在比特币中的80%以上的美元财富现在已经超过三个月,这表明5月和6月的抛售浪潮已经使几乎所有短期交易者筋疲力尽。这一百分比与2012年、2015年和2018年熊市底部的数据相吻合。
最后我认为在更大的市场收缩趋势延续之前,这似乎将是一轮短期牛市,熊市并没有结束。主要是因为宏观市场环境,但市场复苏如此之快是史无前例的。它也让投资者有机会以低价购买加密货币,并在真正的下一轮牛市开始之前积累稳固的投资组合。
牛市能让所有人赚到钱,而熊市才能让少数人暴富 能否抓住机会就看能否在熊市做到坚持去坚持了
来源:金色财经 |
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