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彭博社分析师预测未来六个月比特币将看涨反弹
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彭博社的高级大宗商品策略师Mike McGlone认为，比特币价格将在2022年下半年反弹。
7月6日，McGlone向他的48100名推特粉丝分享了他的想法，他从Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index(BGCI)和BTC价格的50周和100周移动平均线数据中看到了积极迹象。他表示，目前的指标显示出与2018年熊市底部类似的迹象，在那之后，2019年上半年出现了强劲反弹。
“随着Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index接近2018年底部类似的下跌，以及比特币相对于其50周和100周移动平均线的折价与过去的基础相似，风险回报率将在下半年内向反应灵敏的投资者倾斜。”
BCGI旨在衡量一些最大的加密资产的表现，以确定市场的总体表现。移动平均线是指资产在特定时间段内的平均价格，比如50天或100天。
2018年的加密冬天对BTC来说是一段艰难的时期，Coingecko的数据显示，当时的价格从1月份的1.6万美元暴跌至12月中旬3200美元左右的市场底部。然而，在这场崩盘之后，BTC在6月底的时候上涨到了1.3万美元左右。
McGlone在随后的帖子中预测，比特币要么正处于“历史上最大的牛市之一，以相对折扣的价格开启下半年”，要么数据显示，加密市场开始失灵，吓跑投资者。
他说：“我们偏向于认为，比特币的采用率更有可能继续上升。”
McGlone将上半年的崩盘比作“2000-2002年的互联网泡沫破灭”，当时许多公司破产，但也为亚马逊和eBay等顶级公司的发展铺平了道路。
然而，影响上述分析的一个事实是，看跌形势很大程度上是对美联储的鹰派货币政策和通过一系列加息来遏制通胀的尝试的回应。
在2022年，BTC和整个加密市场受到了几个宏观因素的影响，如俄罗斯入侵乌克兰、全球监管和失业率。与此同时，加密项目和公司的内爆让市场情绪变得更加看跌。
7月5日，McGlone指出，如果股市继续以“与上半年类似的速度”下跌，那么美联储6月最新一次加息75个基点可能是今年最后一次加息，因为政府要努力避免经济衰退。随着投资者重新进入市场，这样的结果可能会导致所有资产类别的反弹。
来源：金色财经 |
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