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摩根大通:随着加密货币去杠杆化的结束 加密行业将迎来曙光
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摩根大通的一名分析师表示,加密货币市场历史性的去杠杆化可能即将结束,这可能标志着熊市最糟糕的阶段将要到头。 摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou在周三的一份报告中强调,随着企业救助企业的意愿增强,以及5月和6月风险资本健康的融资步伐,让他对加密行业持乐观态度。他表示,支持这一评估的主要指标是: “像净杠杆率这样的指标表明,去杠杆化已经非常深入。”
主要加密公司的去杠杆化始于今年5月,当时Terra生态系统崩溃,损失了数百亿美元。在这些公司中,它们的资产要么被自愿、匆忙地出售,要么被清算。自那以后,加密货币借贷机构BlockFi和Celsius,以及投资公司三箭资本(Three Arrows Capital)都遭遇了各自的问题。 Panigirtzoglou补充说,一些加密公司去杠杆化的程度可能非常严重,“这表明今年加密市场下跌的震荡将继续产生影响。” 不过,Panigirtzoglou认为,随着加密实体正在出手救助陷入困境的公司,去杠杆化可能即将结束。他说: “事实上,拥有更强大资产负债表的加密实体目前正在介入,帮助遏制危机蔓延。”
在三箭资本和Celsius等几家区块链公司遭遇灾难之际,据报道,Sam Bankman-Fried的FTX交易所将扩大其在整个行业的影响力。据Cointelegraph 6月30日的报道,有传言称FTX打算以2500万美元的价格收购BlockFi加密货币借贷平台。然而,BlockFi首席执行官Zac Prince在6月30日的推特上否认了这一传闻。 Panigirtzoglou还认为,风险投资在加密领域健康的投资步伐也是一个好迹象。据摩根大通估计,今年5月和6月,加密公司获得的风投资金约为50亿美元。融资指标跟踪机构Dove metrics使用Airtable的数据估计,同期加密货币融资更高,为86亿美元。 这一融资总额比3月和4月下降了22亿美元,但比2021年5月和6月增加了34亿美元。 投资者们已经经历了Glassnode认为的加密货币交易历史上最糟糕的熊市。摩根大通的最新预测应该会在2022年给加密货币投资者带来一些新鲜空气。根据CoinGecko的数据,自2021年11月加密货币总市值超过3万亿美元以来,这个数字已经跌至9340亿美元,低于1万亿美元。 来源:金色财经 |
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