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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字/ g: j6 j2 n) y* J. Z
起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
7 w) `- X5 Q. ]$ p3 U* m% i: f德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
: G4 {/ {1 z+ O. l) k; v玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。* j2 v3 D" O9 t+ `2 R/ {% b+ c
" i. s- C" ^, h; E+ G下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语5 E: I; D: D$ k0 Q S- o& H
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补牌总数0 b: L) Y# h0 D9 x
Outs+ ?5 O8 F. Z' `. J2 G, a7 a9 p& d
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数 N; y/ u9 L* Z: o* R9 `/ M
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”: C( `4 o K1 i' c4 K8 p; t
9 ^ N' e' v8 o
成牌概率0 D- S& e' g1 y0 p! T& \& R
Hand Odds
- |/ R. C o7 ?# ^2 Y9 [- E! F& ]" `形成一手特定牌型的概率$ B" b+ z+ }% N! Z; r! o
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”. t6 w6 B/ Z; f1 B( x3 O
% U" J- U8 p$ Q% s2 a1 b8 D# t总注概率1 Y( V8 Q3 i9 N4 ^2 j- I" E& A
Pot Odds
, w, |' x2 C6 o/ R8 o6 E你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
+ b5 L4 t+ I, m& k/ l! F5 q7 P! v! E$ E2 V( O6 \" j4 b
下注概率6 w3 l2 A, }5 c# A7 |7 ^! y! e
Bet Odds5 N8 c/ n, f6 j) c5 A2 N
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率( f! A: u/ R6 v$ P- W8 d% k
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”. B) ?& H: X, k* h5 ^0 h6 C5 Z! l1 A% |
8 F* V: ]) L( \ n2 P, `隐含概率, [" q8 n0 X, N5 m7 D
Implied Odds* g1 U3 i8 Q8 }9 _4 K6 E" q
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率+ b. y3 C2 P; z8 p- ^" d" T
“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”+ l; A1 [( i; Y3 t- b5 j6 p5 ~
9 x# _6 z$ W( C: e. O# D/ C* P4 [
" Z# ]3 T. j! E( v4 Q% u下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:+ U: W* X" ?/ y- q. K
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
% A& N. U- ]8 P {
( m7 N6 L7 \5 F9 ~5 J; }% T! v5 G反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。$ C8 P2 b' \; |6 x
& c) ?0 G& [8 Y1 ]/ w8 d! X( K
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