Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29613
[posts] => 481981
[todayposts] => 59
[yesterdayposts] => 132
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2805821 CZ新专访(转) 1770828926 垂钓园
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5101 小时
本月在线: 5 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
* X) Z2 G* b8 W# s" ?5 ^5 p7 \: L$ j- ?9 I
过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
& p, K+ o& {6 S! J- h* M8 B1 s$ n
. C3 |2 w' o& I( Y1 v' N) `( Z: hPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。+ g. W. l: S6 p/ {# E
: ?5 H( G# n" g1 \4 d2 _
CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
$ z1 T y. W! V( _8 i
4 L: B+ g/ B& a2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
, g: M5 A- U* L3 z
5 L% D- l5 b7 q当前持仓成本:* X g$ d+ O% W
5 N- [5 ^/ l0 ]- S# |机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;+ W' h5 C" U* y# \
/ W; x: t* W" E+ M8 @3 }( R; a5 c
微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;) Y& ~1 P8 V6 I
4 H( T- H" M& v% A
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
; q/ J) z1 ^( r! ~! @6 J2 i" t
0 I/ T$ d2 V# q w; C7 N9 p7 J6 l5 w9 L比特币价值回归:
' g3 o2 r0 q' ]: q" B- e# s1 U( }3 H; }. k, V
市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
; B" l% P. V( V& ?: C% _8 N- L4 \) x, S- [' e* d" F% H
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。; M* I+ @6 i4 s! d. D' }8 ?9 S# \
" Z( O/ D4 ^$ N# b* x0 S加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。& a2 j7 ? d. A3 E B
; I" W9 D' ^7 F/ y6 L8 k6 V3. 市场热点与反弹情况
9 h9 a+ V) y, f) j+ t+ X: Y0 z6 s5 g
ETH:" z7 q& k: w0 Y e' r/ N
8 A3 S( t+ l1 d+ _! M
虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。 X3 v: l; y, T
( c j9 s' r+ W$ j! C机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。( Y4 }8 ]9 H C" x8 h
% T5 f* c/ ^( w+ _4 qBTC:9 o5 |& L8 Z6 z" G' J9 z! c9 n
+ N: E1 s" m8 y7 X2 r1 x
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。1 i+ H- i! B( `+ Y
{. a/ C6 u2 F* d9 U( y+ \3 }
如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。9 @ o, g$ j S4 A
! C% f; q# h' [9 L3 c5 T6 Y0 NSOL与XRP:
) i+ c+ S9 I1 {& W0 H. i( y5 Z/ d. g
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
7 C4 T& G, M+ ]- I. }! H; z' L5 k5 Z, P ]5 T" Y- v
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。& M; Y- I# x$ S* `
* C) W2 m* z( S! {+ V9 W' y
其他热点项目:
5 h8 G' Z0 Y2 j* X- ]5 b; q9 @ b# ?( y# H) v) [' A
涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
! }/ B/ ~5 z- ^2 z% k1 K& s; Y4 O/ U y3 d# }
山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
% u, Z# \5 ~3 |0 G$ Y) x" e, {0 x. ~
4. AI赛道与新兴项目
5 x' r9 J- F( h1 {: b0 K
5 y6 A% v( S! W3 S8 {AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。& j- U q5 [% G; `0 f& D
8 P) [6 T7 F2 u1 S# O. f
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。, E& ~+ D% A0 |0 \& i( I
" p0 z6 F3 u* h
新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
) r, {% K) ^8 j* P' `5 ~0 f& q/ e4 j; p( p H9 A. H
市场展望: i2 L2 N* d- ?2 o6 ?- f
' R2 [ y- ?+ W% c% i5 H
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
C' |/ X. B" m! ^3 V W& o6 ?8 V
6 K& ^3 z* p. c" ` |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13694 小时
本月在线: 20 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9074 小时
本月在线: 3 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19654 小时
本月在线: 23 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10414 小时
本月在线: 14 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3066 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|