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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。/ c' M n/ B$ W' {- E7 A
E* u. q: N- `& b+ C0 \比特币重新分配正在进行
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; r6 O% v! x' W6 [% w( J+ q目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。/ b. ~; ^9 F& v0 q3 `2 R \) G9 J/ _ W
: A! o' J. Z3 N目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。2 B$ M- o7 V/ y4 V9 k
. _2 z# i" k+ x- e然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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3 D2 \0 k. `4 J& W! g) V/ N3 K根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。, g% z( b, e; e$ `$ A
# R" f. @! C5 u8 i1 O通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。: B8 G4 C8 Q5 H4 `0 ?% Q/ o
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。7 L; c* ?+ L" u. l" ~7 [) c! v3 `
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| M8 j* \3 ^6 L& K& e% I' c比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
2 G* [4 v' z* c0 Y+ PCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。# ^0 a. n+ k* s2 H& \, D* ?) }
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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1 ], J+ O7 D6 y3 b, [' e7 [& p) q2 i一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。* D0 v: w/ j: I# B: { ?! O" j" m
2 n8 ?' i7 q2 R2 I现货交易商调整
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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4 A( _5 n& f |/ _如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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