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[lastpost] => 2806217 从长期来看 以太坊这个价位一定套不住（转） 1770915480 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？& f3 C. j% Y- P- I* }
( ]3 e% l* l6 b* X比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。
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随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。% t* E- Z7 a4 |3 x3 F
. O7 z4 ~( z7 h. H7 D, ~& z比特币价格分析& Y; s8 T1 h& p, N/ U& ?
尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；
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9 U. ]3 L: d5 t; M崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。
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' i+ F2 ~. K# @! U然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。2 ^$ F( N& _1 _3 v6 b/ V' {
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目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。
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/ F3 C: n5 G$ v; T% p7 L0 `) f2 M预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。1 _3 ?: l O, F7 X2 b$ _
/ U( ~) o6 K" F* |+ s富达在12月30日引领外流
; D& m4 `) W! \$ T随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。2 b% z4 P5 A6 y; M" ]% W ^
0 K4 P# v- V. @. t. [* z比特币交易所交易基金
; p: m8 m3 @2 r# @- Y& c富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。5 R! y) w( q# s9 f `( l
3 A/ J- s9 V2 H- Q+ c8 v: rBTC价格目标
9 `+ _* J& s% B. g" G随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。
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" l, x4 z4 @( g3 D$ a在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。6 {6 B9 J7 D8 u8 A. s( X# M- E
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另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。) M$ F0 S3 R2 G8 X1 ^
4 ~0 U' K/ \8 Y3 [. a在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。. L3 u& j* ~) U5 }
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分析师点燃2025年的希望
$ N' O$ N# h( K2 i9 h3 J! O( {尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。
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, P" i" q8 u9 B/ [- v/ t( JMartinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。+ b _" o+ R) Z/ p3 i
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在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。$ m1 n1 A# `0 V6 f ] t
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Alis对比特币RSI的评论% v$ c1 R# D% `" \
结论$ i5 f, U5 ?: S. Q* e+ R
比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。 A1 ^; q9 ^6 x r0 m
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然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。
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