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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
8 h2 b9 w. X3 L尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；
9 ~7 D7 z* C, t! w7 p" k- g# c# P' j比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；
9 X8 G6 M4 Y! { F! V* v
/ h6 T* `7 K& }/ r& j1 B根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；
# r$ R0 {3 _2 |* J4 D; X. e$ O4 D% W: M4 w
在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
# r; D% b& x* @7 Z( |/ u3 k& Q
下一步BTC上涨？
v8 ~ V4 O8 _5 G$ H' p采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
. d: F8 _2 {9 Y, I8 E/ w+ a3 |' q- U6 j% i3 I9 O
此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
0 J- }# z+ w* D! R# h6 J# C7 v/ u
$ j/ @3 \3 v7 ^$ i; `尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
0 Z' A; N8 \5 y* d( C$ k) T4 b' B6 X5 [9 X! i( o2 E3 D
Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
# B, n. y& }8 s. x
" ]0 x5 j7 Z( h. j, Q2 J“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：: z7 ^, i& _% w$ y+ q! u
g1 C/ y: }, A& h' Z; A4 ]+ Y
另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；4 D- }8 `% L2 e2 H. S; F
: u& n! j4 J5 j/ B1 G- x( x
自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
, L" s! B) V% i5 F! p6 C6 \5 H$ b5 i" W3 s( O2 w1 E
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。6 u, C% K d5 l
( g8 \6 T% @- B在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
. @& `; h" j0 Z; Y' g
& l1 p1 [% ^3 L5 k! R4 J“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；5 ~. G. ~& A2 y: X% m% C
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