×
Array
(
[fid] => 6929
[description] =>
[password] =>
[icon] => e0/common_6929_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
[fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[966] => 每周话题
[968] => 每周要闻
)
[icons] => Array
(
[966] =>
[968] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[966] =>
[968] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92
[postperm] => 38 58 66 74 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6831
[type] => forum
[name] => 每周热闻
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 4
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 266
[posts] => 19737
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 17
[oldrank] => 12
[lastpost] => 2404687 ❤天策每周热闻❤2021年8月22日—8月28日（8月第4期） 1630374797 hiu
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 1
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
|
|
抢楼
|
本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 760 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 760 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
+ P6 S2 w) z. n- r- B1 ]$ Z3 V
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1824 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。6 N, x# z# ]6 v T Y" Y
8 U8 \2 r0 U {# E3 H/ b
这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。4 S8 |+ u8 R' A/ A+ k
+ ]% u1 C4 Q( B- J& S$ [6 a6 i: ], U为什么？( U. b9 m/ X. T# A0 v: ~) q
6 n9 t0 x! p6 S0 y# N1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
' ]% _$ j1 H. k2 z; {2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。: Z n4 c- Y3 g& ?3 s
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。& o- {# U; e- a7 F) O5 E
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/44 i h B. M" ~4 E' k
第一把输，你没有了。
% i/ r/ P4 s* U M 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。6 G, h; F o6 a$ A& U
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
* D! n8 P4 F/ L7 y2 v( T7 e …………无限下去。
! s1 k0 F! s/ `( U1 T- |. j4 Q9 L1 b5 ?清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……" |6 _8 c) _( |1 K, B, _7 \
- Z7 P. g' b: L0 X& f( D是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
; e8 |( Y5 l5 f$ N V3 {( @6 G8 A* g1 r/ C6 N" U
这就是总是输的原因。。5 J2 J/ W4 L/ h' ^1 Q- H1 [1 Q; R
' p* J. o) A$ ]& J% {$ Z. P4 G为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？+ g5 A8 ^6 Z: n3 D
& T- S0 E5 n$ p5 k. E1 u% [1、我觉得可以打偏差。
- P1 Y `2 o2 r- h4 j) j! O8 k2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
6 n3 K' S0 X. s6 H, l4 y* h6 k1 ?2 c( [- M! e, g' `
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
- y+ j8 H, R4 N; t! }
* q0 {0 Q1 C8 }8 e) n; i人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 487 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5818 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12610 小时
本月在线: 4 小时
|
|
|
菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[复制链接]
