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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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, r4 p- Q) |! @4 p5 Q* w. f有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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3 x8 L8 E, @4 ]4 n( ]* R* I3 |0 H这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。5 a2 b' G" B* F5 L# l' W5 ^! X; s
+ t" J- W2 ~- U* e7 c: r w1 e- v为什么？0 V7 y+ O0 N, ?1 O% E+ h+ }
" t+ c( m5 z- c+ j1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
% t4 {1 @* O( m7 T2 Y# }2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。4 g$ k0 H. F5 E9 F" A. u% N: |& i
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。( w$ a* w7 Z$ n: ~$ E' h0 N
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4* s+ @8 v+ x7 B1 K9 v/ G
第一把输，你没有了。5 s! G/ g' H# Z, S/ m
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
; d' E5 x. ^9 E7 A3 r6 o% ` 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
3 o; P& s8 ?2 p& g9 w( w! ^& j' d0 R …………无限下去。) }+ ]$ j5 T5 ~% _
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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# E( J( L* d4 p$ L) e是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。. @/ `* a% T- d
4 z7 ?1 A0 X# U为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
0 h0 D+ j: L* V+ v/ f( Z0 V( W) x& k* x6 H1 ?* K' S
1、我觉得可以打偏差。+ R) i: H- j; [! e1 D+ w
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
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1 O2 T; B/ y4 \$ x# R但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。6 S2 v1 B8 _$ F& _0 X
! i1 c" ]& y$ K) a: J. \0 X人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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