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BTC坚守20000点 加密市场何时回暖?
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最近市场很明显的一个变化就是新冠疫情风险性在不断解除,中国经济重回正轨,外资和内资都在持续进场抄底A股、港股,连中概股也有了不同程度的上涨行情,欧美股市出现了小幅反弹。
图1:A股上证指数日K线
从4月27日开始,A股开始止跌反弹,目前已经持续上涨2个月,上证指数从2863点反弹近500多点突破了3400点,累计上涨幅度达18.75%。技术形态上也看,也已经成功突破并站上了半年线,也就是所谓的牛熊分界线,不过接下来会面临年线3438的压力位。
图2:BTC周线级别走势图
反观加密货币市场,BTC目前仍处在熊市行情,周线级别看,从去年11月中旬开始的这波熊市行情,boll中轨持续向下,且币价在其下方运行,每逢反弹便是出货点,趋势不改盲目抄底的风险是比较大的。
图3:BTC日线级别走势图
尽管整个加密市场的跌幅已经比较大,不过从日线级别看,BTC仍在boll指标中轨下方运行,且boll指标持续向下,均表明行情还在下跌的趋势中,目前未出现明显的止跌反弹的迹象。
图4:BTC-4H级别走势图
与日线和周线级别走势不同,4小时级别看,BTC目前处于窄幅震荡行情,boll指标上下轨持续收敛,可以耐心等待行情变盘,目前的窄幅震荡区间在20000-22000之间。
图5:APE-4H级别走势图
与大饼和以太坊持续走弱的大方向不同的是,ape目前走出了独立的上涨趋势行情,今天日涨幅超10个点,4小时级别看,boll指标拐头向上,币价也在boll中轨上方运行,短线看可继续持币看涨。
图6:YFII-1H级别走势图
最后一个币种我们说一下YFII(小姨夫),如上图所示,1小时级别看,币价冲高回落,暴涨暴跌,再次上演割韭菜行情,6月24日上午6点开启了快速拉升,6月26日早上5点再次大幅拉升,累计币价较最高点翻3倍。这波行情最关键的转折点就是高位的阴包阳出现的看空吞没形态(如图所示),目前币价在boll中轨下方运行,后市持续看空。 来源:金色财经 |
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