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冷风说币： 比特币破位 多头堪忧 27号加息成生死局 2022.07.26
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市场消息
北京时间26日凌晨，美股三大股指收盘涨跌不一。其中道指涨90.75点，涨幅为0.28%，报31990.04点；纳指跌51.45点，跌幅为0.43%，报11782.67点；标普500指数涨5.21点，涨幅为0.13%，报3966.84点。
本周是美股财报最繁忙的一周，另外周末还要召开美联储议息，同时美国还将公布二季度GDP报告。消息面上，本周可以说是精彩纷呈。
目前已有21%的标普500成分公司公布了财报，其中近70%的公司业绩超预期。可以说，通胀似乎并没有阻挡美股上市公司盈利的步伐，这也是上周美股市场走强的根本逻辑所在。
然而，昨日美股市场走势偏弱，加密市场突然下跌，估计还是加息惹的祸。虽然，目前业内人士几乎铁定认为，美联储本周将再度加息75个基点，但在靴子落地前，对于资本市场而言，加息会给市场带来怎样的变化，眼下似乎仍是一个“谜”。更何况，欧洲央行也加入到了货币紧缩的行列中了。
面对本周重磅消息的来临，不管是美股市场还是加密货币市场，本周或许都是重大转变的“十字路口”，对此币友们应该保持足够的谨慎。
行情分析
BTC短线支撑20800-20500美元，短线压力22000-22500美元。美三大股指涨跌互现，外围环境一般，看来还是要等到加息日局势才会明朗。今天看盘重点二条，一是看大饼一阴一阳的格局是否还在，如果在今天应该收阳。二是20800美元成为多方最救命稻草。比特币前两天走势不好看，跌破前期22000平台附近重要支撑，上涨趋势被破坏，再次回到前期箱体，冷风认为从现在到周四凌晨加息落地为止，比特币都会保持一个震荡或者下行的走势。冷风在周六的行情分析中，提示了大家谨慎，周末简更直接看空，昨天也是提示大家还在下降通道。在行情没有扭转之前，继续看空。
ETH短线支撑1350-1380美元，短线压力1550-1600美元。看大饼的脸色行事，大饼不稳，一切都是妄想。以太坊多次突破1700未果，事实证明了重要压力的强度，昨天震荡趋势都被打破，顶底支撑压力互换，短线看跌，关注1380-1350支撑情况，最重要支撑在1280。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。重点关注uni,sushi。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。我们天天都在讲三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。这三个秩序不能巅倒，今天就是典型案例，大饼不稳，无论是以太，还是山寨币都不会有好的表现。因此重点要研究大饼的企稳。 来源：金色财经 |
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