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2 万美元对 BTC 的“极端需求”创造了新的支撑位
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Glassnode 的最新分析表明,最糟糕的抛售可能已经结束,但市场仍需要时间来恢复。
比特币 ( BTC ) 20,000 美元价位的“极端”需求似乎迫使这些代币重新回到了不太关心价格的投资者手中,同时创造了一个新的已实现价格水平。
在 7 月 25 日发布的最新的 The Week OnChain通讯中,Glassnode 的 UkuriaOC 指出了 20,000 美元区域附近的“极端需求”,并指出在从 40,000 美元到 30,000 美元到 20,000 美元的每个心理价格水平上,都会产生一组新的短期持有者 (STH) .
Glassode 分析师指出,尽管价格大幅下跌,但在回撤期间购买的新 STH 的大部分供应尚未售出。这可能是由于对价格不太敏感的买家,或者那些更关心比特币基本面而不是投资收益的买家,推动了需求。
根据CoinGecko 的数据,从 4 月下旬到 6 月,BTC 价格从 40,000 美元跌至约 18,100 美元的低点 55% 。
Glassnode 写道,这表明新铸造的 STH 是对价格不敏感的买家,对比特币更有信心,并补充说,他们从 STH 转换为至少 155 天不出售的长期持有者 (LTH) 将有助于证实这一点。
“看到这些 STH 持有的 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元水平的代币在未来几周开始成熟到 LTH 状态,这将是有建设性的,这有助于支持这一论点。”
在当前的熊市中,已确认的 LTH 已连续锁定近 400 天的年度盈利能力,表现优于 30 天的盈利能力。
这与 LTH 在 2018 年熊市期间经历的持续时间几乎相同。Glassnode 写道,这表明 LTH 锁定了损失,如果前面的论点成立,这意味着新买家对价格的敏感度低于出售的同类,这意味着他们可能成为最新的 LTH 群体。
报告中的另一点值得注意的是,在大规模清算和破产的情况下,加密公司的“前所未有的强制出售”为救济泵创造了成熟的条件。
该报告最后指出,虽然“最糟糕的投降可能已经结束”,但 BTC 可能会在一段时间内保持在这个低位,因为新代币购买者的成本基础已经连续 17 天低于实际价格。之前的熊市周期经历了 248 天到 575 天之间的低背离。
在撰写本文时,BTC 在过去 24 小时内下跌了 3.1%,交易价格为 21,146 美元。
来源:金色财经 |
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