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[虚拟币交流]
CPI数据公布低于预期,BTC反暴跌!华尔街专业玩家进场控盘!比特相变(转)
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华尔街专业玩家进场,控盘水平真是没得说。 贝莱德的ETF已经累积了近35万枚BTC现货。全体美现货BTC ETF总持仓已经快赶超中本聪了。现货价格依然被控的死死的。天知道这些大资本要吸多少货才会放开缰绳,任由市场策马奔腾! * C! C6 x( m/ i
美国CPI数据公布低于预期,大饼为何暴跌? 昨夜在美国cpi数据公布前,大饼BTC短暂拉升至61800附近,数据公布后是低于预期的,消费者通胀年率2.9%,超预期回落,首次回到2时代,CPI利好更是没有带动BTC突破62000一带。9月降息已经是板上钉钉,就是降25还是50个点的问题。利好,那为何庄家会在此时选择砸盘出货呢? 因为现在币圈的流动性是非常差的,上次跌到49000后,庄家接了大量的货,又快速拉升至62000上方,拉太快了,下面是没有承接的买盘的,而CPI数据利好的公布恰恰能让韭菜押注降息后的行情,会选择不断抄底,这正撞在狗庄的枪口上,把抄底的货在60000附近倒给韭菜。庄家的操作大多数都是反韭菜性的,所以利好可能会下跌,利空或许根本跌不了多少又快速拉升上来,需要与狗庄斗智斗勇。 思路:BTC价格最近处于突破前的临界点,果然主力利用消息搞事情,各种上下插针,今日更是回落到58000一线。现在主力还需要继续震荡换手筹码,你所需要做的是拿好筹码,静待突破。震荡也不会很深,下方55000-57500一带支撑区间。 8 x' K1 Q6 a, I# X0 J* f% {# A
很多朋友在问:“山寨牛市何时到来”? 要回答这个问题,首先要搞清楚最基本的逻辑,BTC之于币圈 相当于美元之于外汇,在货币紧缩加息周期,资金回流美元,币圈资金回流BTC,而在货币宽松降息周期则反之。 BTC市占率强势两年了,9月将开启降息周期,也意味着今年四季度BTC.D将会见顶。
7 z2 O3 u: }6 m/ C, m, u牛市转熊了? 自3月后月线呈一阴一阳排列,7月收阳,8月就一定要收阴,顶点和低点都在不断下移,这个趋势就是不断往下的,只有一口气突破站稳73000,这个往下的趋势才会被破解。 如果单纯从价格上去看,目前还是牛市。但从趋势走向看,目前已是熊市,这个熊市的起点是6.18那天跌破熊牛线开始的,虽然这段时间价格上上下下,但终究是大方向往下,因此整体是趋空。未来到达一个新低后,再往上攻,再开启的牛市,那才是这轮减半周期后的真正牛市。 比特相变 相变这个概念,是从物理学借用过来的。相变(Phase Transition)的本意,是指物质在外部参数(如:温度、压力、磁场等等)连续变化之下,从一种相(态)忽然变成另一种相,最常见的是冰变成水和水变成蒸气。 BTC会不会发生相变,什么条件下发生相变,什么时候发生相变,向什么方向相变,我们并不能准确预知。但是我们一定要保持头脑和认知的灵活性。像易经中说的,君子豹变。不要让经验主义、教条主义、本本主义,禁锢了自己的思想。随时做好迎接大变局的准备,紧紧握住BTC,抓住新时代的新机遇。
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