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[lastpost] => 2687600 比特币还在涨，破了7万2美元啦 1730263774 22301
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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
' `: f. K: J/ t5 U/ }7 }尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ； J' l e) u0 S w. w
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；4 o l) S$ f# i5 \; Q
" l1 A% X# G" T# g根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；
0 @& `# Z3 M! b# P+ Q: U6 M5 X# Y: a( N) ]( [ Z' {
在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
5 y( k. Z. V) i$ n
. i9 Q% y, p& f/ |! M% H下一步BTC上涨？
, K( Z) r- U# T3 i8 A5 J采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；9 @5 y! X; f1 ?4 U' i
( L ]9 R: V* t5 z# _( ^此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
7 T1 u( x& C: U
1 N( I a; @, b% q" z9 X9 k尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
! z7 e- |1 @7 G6 l5 _% r. w3 v4 h: F) Q* C7 z& Q, z& q: u. X1 L: A+ j
Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
& l' r2 p9 X' F1 `) F' _
2 L( {4 G: S1 N" @- [“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：* V2 Q* R/ \1 b; U, ?
1 ~1 k- z5 M" d) o1 V3 W! k另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；0 v, U2 Z" R/ B- F% V+ V
/ Y5 }6 k5 w" H自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；- I& v( k9 D( H. J( I F& L* i! w
$ l4 B) ]1 R+ R有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
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在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,; _8 |5 I( n y; P5 V# e$ H
0 V& `6 H) J0 M1 U9 X# j% z“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；6 x9 T+ T! m$ |- {
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