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[体育菠菜心得方法] 【转帖】篮球博彩心得体会
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1#
赌球,说好听点叫做体育博彩,确认的是总体上无论如何庄家也是立于不败之地的,每场开盘的比赛,赛前基本$ z- c# f  y4 r& M" z
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上95水或者925水,走地足球90水篮球一般85水上下,只要通过投注量情况调整水位,稳稳的就能获利.
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0 H$ `" o9 _0 |1 @+ v' \& @. T4 i但大多数,庄家并不是只赚水钱.从闲家的博彩心理角度来看,前面盈利多的自然想乘追击而输大的则想速度
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: W. m( c; `- `& o3 u8 S翻本,人的心态不可能总保持一个平和理智的状态,于是,清仓注开始了,乱下的开始了,庄家则非常乐于看到0 v) i) {- a: M* d5 n$ @/ T9 w1 A

+ ?; Q9 G# ]- m/ A- k4 x& b这一点,它们不怕你赢,就怕你见好就收,还是彻彻底底收的那种,但这种情况太少见了.. X1 ?5 _6 p1 h! A
  
5 b( \! A9 f9 D) V2 a( J庄家根据多年的计算,有一整套的赔率体系和数学模型,有经验的操盘手开出平衡的盘口来,犹如机械一般,没
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有什么心态的起伏,而闲家,在下注过程,比赛进行过程,心理变化巨大,不经意间就落入陷阱,感性的疲惫的闲
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' H& [/ M8 l4 X- m8 v9 m5 O家和机器般的庄家是无法对抗的.人性的弱点被庄家所利用,因此玩球倾家荡产跑路跳楼的很多也不足为奇.
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3 J+ X+ g0 j/ u9 e/ D因此呢,还是尽量远离赌球是最明智的,或者真能做到收发自如娱乐的心态玩球.
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8 a" i9 w$ m; U9 w/ Z, r) M7 F8 G闲家的优势,真正能获利的只有心理素质极佳的精英玩家,这也是一些大博彩公司有限额投注的原因.任你开- F. o9 O( v. T$ ?; S
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再多的比赛,再多的走地,精英玩家只选择对自己最有利的盘口,有条件的则去现场观看比赛利用时间差投注
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获利.选择最好的盘口,提高并维持胜率,做出博彩的纪录.
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闲家有选择投注的权利,有不下的选择.牢牢掌握住这仅有的优势才有可能获利.下面还是从NBA比赛谈一0 u. ^9 u5 Y: Q; }+ |2 m7 R/ h3 n
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谈.. Y" L4 I5 r0 i" ?  i
  
& s0 Q2 N# D0 d; S2 d2 w& |! iNBA每场比赛的开盘都是经过严格计算,结合球队实力近期状态主客场情况开出让分盘和大小盘,基本上上
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下盘的投注量会差不多的,也会随着投注量不平衡或者突发一些事件升降盘,赛前的盘口选择广大NBA博彩
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  o0 g1 U0 N9 g3 U3 x爱好者都有自己的看法,我的意见是深盘慎去上盘,选择的最好是强势的近期盘路走势较好的球队,比如前一
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4 _; a4 Q3 c9 O) _阵的骑士,目前的魔术,全场盘看好上盘让2分3分,那就选择标胜,虽然水低一点,但可以通过以盈利额为准增
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加投入,也降低了风险.比如12月12日太阳主场对魔术,太阳全场让1.5分95水,标胜83水,这种盘最好要选
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' p8 y' K: I- O7 `标胜,以盈利50元为目的,就投入60元好了.最后太阳险胜1分.庄家的开的上下盘姑且认为各是50%概率,闲
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# b; ^- p8 s& q# m+ P家通过对NBA的了解对近期走势的总结和降低风险的投注,将自己的胜率达到55%甚至60%以上是最终目8 L; g( A; x0 k1 w- G5 ]7 U

$ @/ q3 f& i3 U8 _  q- \的.$ Q3 {) Q6 S* ?; [( z8 W
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  赛前的盘如此,但比赛开始后,又有很多变数,球队当天的状态,手感的好坏,球队风格的相生相克等等.重点1 e& l2 o- T+ P% [1 i9 g

. b3 E3 y, `% s. C( k地选择还应该是下半场的赛前投注以及全场走地中寻找机会.比赛已过半场,人员都已确定,再根据中场的比
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5 F* S, W$ ?4 y7 W- d分结合全场盘以及下半的开盘选择,胜率要更有把握一些.我个人中场选择是从三方面考虑,实力,士气和盘路
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对比,另一方面要看看庄家的开盘是否有倾向性,那样就要小心,比如11.23日火箭客场对魔术,全场魔术-20 O* }: y" d2 ?. H
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分,上半场魔术领先2分,然而中场盘竟然火箭让0.5,如果按全场盘来看至少也该是平手开盘,最后火箭赢球1 I8 n$ ~7 @+ T4 c0 {# X/ |% ^/ s
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赢盘,24日马刺客场对灰熊,马刺人员严重不整,全场-2.5分上半场领先5,中场开盘还能开出马刺让分,最终
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% h. q* t" C" D  m3 c马刺胜了13分.当然这都不是绝对的,但可以做为一个重要参考,下注的时候千万不要有个人感情因素和先入
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" i0 @5 P; D% v) c$ N为主的概念.上半场得分非常少,下半最好去大球,就算不去大球下半夜慎重去小球.大球队纽约,勇士等慎重
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去小球,小球队马刺,黄蜂等慎重去大球.走地中的选择也是如此,玩走地时候最好看着比赛直播,还是盘口选) G4 C" `# C" E( M0 r

5 P5 T0 W$ C. n择最有利的,能去标胜的盘就别去让分,千万别下可能双黑得投注,比如17号凯尔特人让老鹰4分,中场休息老
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% ^* y4 @1 D4 ?0 a鹰领先1分,开盘下半凯让3.5,这个时候全场去凯的即使觉得不稳想反补也不能这时候补,最终全场凯赢3分,
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  a  U3 A5 q) k" f; P; ^( O就会造成双黑得局面.而双方比分胶着而又频频打铁时候,总分已经严重低于全场总分盘追大是不错的,一方: d1 T, u2 d) v+ I# Y: h0 m
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领先过多的时候去手下盘,虽然也有过开拓者主场对公牛,金块客场对国王那样比赛大比分领先还一直痛打
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落水狗的情况但总体上此时胜率还是可以的.总之,NBA没有定式,每天的比赛都有不同的情况,但可以依据盘& M. q' ]5 ^' x
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路的情况,对NBA的了解以及好的投注技巧提高胜率
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2#
走第水位太低
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3#
新人来学习下,谢谢楼主。
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4#
谢谢楼主的心得分享!
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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
谢谢 楼主的分享....
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6#
thanks for sharing
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