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活跃钱包下跌趋势中外部推动比特币价格上涨？
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尽管活跃地址数量呈下降趋势，但周一比特币（BTC）价格大幅上涨。在某一时刻，加密货币触及 24,200 美元的水平。看来这不是因为加密市场，而是价格上涨背后的外部原因。有趣的是，比特币活跃钱包的数量几乎没有任何上升趋势。
处于下降趋势中的比特币活跃钱包
链上数字表明持有 BTC 的活跃地址数量仍然很低。不仅如此，根据 Crypto Quant 的数据，活跃钱包也呈下降趋势。与此同时，目前加密货币期货市场呈现积极势头。但是，尚不确定这种势头会持续多久。
预计加密价格上涨
随着期货市场上新合约的开立，加密货币价格正在上涨。加密货币的短期投资者正在期货市场上持仓，从而提高价格。加密期货的购买信号可能是预期价格上涨。
“对宏观情绪改善的预期导致短期押注者在期货市场（未平仓合约）建立头寸，押注可能引导价格走高的动能增益。”
与此同时，比特币价格略低于 24,000 美元。截至发稿时，BTC 价格为 23,968 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨约 3%。然而，波动的可能性很大，因为本周宏观经济事件可能会产生影响。最重要的美国通胀数据将于周三公布。
此外，期货市场的短期投机容易受到快速周转的影响。这些信号可能会在不久的将来以任何一种方式弯曲加密货币价格。“此时的方向性押注，在重要宏观数据的风口浪尖上是高风险的，短期内可以快速改变方向，因此此时能够管理风险或配置非常重要。”
另一方面，对 8 月份比特币价格的预测是积极的。根据社区预测，BTC 可能在本月结束时超过 28,000 美元。BTC 是否会遭受价格调整或获得积极的发展势头还有待观察。
来源：金色财经 |
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