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[lastpost] => 2687600 比特币还在涨，破了7万2美元啦 1730263774 22301
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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
. U+ _: P. h' P- n8 }8 V尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；
# x! x D' _* l3 s比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；+ k9 ^3 n0 T1 Z' D8 N! a! l+ C
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根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；0 n' [: m1 z- }3 C
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在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
! m& h5 q' D E) y/ m9 k
; b9 I" t- c. Z1 R( m下一步BTC上涨？
) E; Z$ H1 P9 h3 O! j- d, _采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
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$ e1 ^/ K) g% `$ ?; J" o此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；$ y# v9 {" {3 ? V% ?& m+ M
8 @6 h- V4 G7 t( O+ S; I尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
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/ F3 t7 g* R3 a' ]$ e* UBlockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；/ X: c, k) v9 a9 W. S' Z
8 q/ x; b* l$ z0 F; C& e
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：! V+ A- d2 [ @; @. o3 f4 I
8 ^) B! M0 j) I. a另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；
% X, r/ U6 [1 V$ ^8 Z& M/ |
# G, f' X2 B {: r3 r自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
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4 {, t, ~, L2 m. f3 @有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
% @; X* G8 Q0 _. Z- c- T* ~6 @" z. B6 v) b" h
在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,% Y: _4 s8 y, p- v ?
0 G C2 w9 `$ l: G: l c+ a“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；2 O9 y/ m: W; r5 b9 C5 Y9 w
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