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比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元：分析（转）
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分析师Ali Martinez认为，比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元，然后出现大幅回调。
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: V$ L: ]5 `( q/ A' o4 Q" C比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同，过去几天一直处于持有模式，没有出现重大价格变动。
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/ R' d5 I' ^ E9 n自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来，它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整，跌至86682美元，但此后反弹至92600美元。; X6 s* b! \ E
" d) @7 s! A0 i在过去的六天里，比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动，价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中，参与者既谨慎又兴奋，预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。& T& t+ u& R! Z" f* h4 [
* Z/ Z8 b, @9 \) n, U2 ^9 G8 e与此同时，像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势，以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。( @! G% R4 |' b5 A# p6 M
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历史表明，比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元" k$ V1 D* Z8 E7 q# L
在A更新今天早些时候，Martinez指出，在2016/2017牛市期间，比特币价格飙升了156%，超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点，首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ；: g7 f2 u% i0 m' _3 {2 N" }! I
9 b( H' c2 C* Q L: K2 a8 `( p: y同样，他指出，在2020/2021年的周期中，比特币的价值增长了121%，然后经历了32%的回调，抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察，他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ；1 _. z! ~% g0 s$ W
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比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发，目标价为15万美元
. u) O+ |1 J. z: I9 A与此同时，在后续帖子中，马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。
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他之前曾指出，在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后，它飙升了26%，然后巩固了一周。整合之后，价格大幅上涨至40000美元。
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. ~; h0 g- p9 B1 B# x值得注意的是，在目前的情况下，比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%，并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来，在过去的六天里一直在巩固。
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o. p) t( A. t7 z因此，马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话，市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破，目标价约为15万美元。3 S V( y, I. ^4 I* S. t( r
) [% e" V4 A Z5 @# Z& y: `牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标
$ U7 h& p5 x' |# T* s6 x( r值得注意的是，15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致，在经历约30%的大幅调整之前，比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ；% C5 a) I) s$ |* T8 c
. }5 f* a* Y; c$ ?如果这种情况发生，如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元，则达到9.6万美元。$ D3 G# v. x" W
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与此同时，Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间，作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。
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