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[lastpost] => 2793443 比特币失去对白银的波动溢价，但并未失去长期支撑——接下来会发生什么？（转） 1767120437 人生如赌
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当前离线
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总在线: 12611 小时
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调整来临？今日，比特币突然跳水，此前大涨的黄金与日本股市也有所回落。
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截至发稿， 比特币跌幅超0.8%，跌破124000美元。以太坊、雪崩币等加密货币也纷纷走低。% Y) h) J9 h7 b" a
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9 v, S' o( Q9 d Coinglass网站数据显示，过去24小时内，虚拟货币共有超16万人爆仓。
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此前比特币已连续上涨，昨日，比特币一度冲高至126199美元左右，事实上，随着美联储降息周期开启，美元持续走弱，黄金、比特币等资产纷纷被抢购。今日，纽约期金一度涨至4000美元，不过，当前已有所回落。
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6 P/ m8 L# a3 u6 U 此外，美国ZF“关门”持续，日本与法国政坛的变动也导致避险资产更受青睐。5 x: N( c% `" v, a! X; o% @3 L2 j$ \3 O
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不过，对于黄金等资产的暴涨，美国银行认为技术性调整或将来临。
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P. ?- z/ ~/ a 美国银行分析师Paul Ciana在一份研究报告中表示，从技术分析来看，随着金价逼近每盎司4000美元关口，其上涨趋势已显现“动能耗尽”的迹象。这位首席技术策略师指出，若此趋势延续，金价可能在第四季度进入盘整或回调阶段。
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" N5 W( B/ n) y6 K# i: n- y Ciana称：“从趋势跟踪与风险管理角度出发，目前更适合上调止损位、进行对冲操作，或减少部分多头持仓。”他进一步补充，黄金涨势可能“动能耗尽”的信号包括：当前金价较其200日简单移动平均线高出约21%——而金价在该均线0 K0 t5 V3 b% \+ ]* W# j$ o+ l0 ?
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在今日股市方面，虽然亚太主要股指收盘多数上涨。但日经225指数尾盘回落仅涨0.01%报47950.88点，此前一度涨破48500点。
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% ?, h& d2 j$ M( X- p, B# Q8 @ 权重股方面，丰田汽车涨1.65%，KDDI电信涨1.44%，软银集团涨1.11%；日本电气跌2.93%，TOKYO ELECTRON跌1.57%，迅销跌1.28%。澳洲标普200指数跌0.21%报8956.80点。新西兰标普50指数涨0.31%报13531.290点。
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市场情绪转凉一瞬间，该来的回调还是来了。
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