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[lastpost] => 2791816 比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。（转） 1766501013 人生如赌
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比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。（转）
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价值约236亿美元的比特币（比特币）期权将于12月26日星期五到期，这将是历史上规模最大的比特币期权到期日。1 O% V* J6 y4 i- O' P) `! c
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更具体地说，未平仓合约数据CoinGlass截至12月23日，呼叫中心活动高度集中。选项介于 10 万美元至 12 万美元之间，表明许多交易员正在为进一步上涨做准备。# m0 R% c% N, n1 a4 I5 i j( n8 h
8 G4 u7 a) o/ I6 u5 X. z不利的一面是，看跌期权集中在 85,000 美元附近，表明关键支撑位正受到密切关注。所谓的“最大痛点”，即期权持有者可能遭受最大损失的价格，接近 96,000 美元。( j6 s4 R. F5 M- P4 e0 c8 M
& E9 }* Z7 i2 {: M: h+ H& z按行权价划分的比特币未平仓合约量。数据来源：CoinGlass, @" C M0 K; v. J
! N: o3 c5 ?# Q- I为了更直观地了解情况，今年的 236 亿美元可以与去年的 198 亿美元和 2023 年的 110 亿美元进行比较。3 ?. H1 R( V; }" I ^5 y
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比特币最重要的事件之一
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尽管到期日规模巨大，但目前的仓位布局仍可视为建设性策略。具体而言，看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为0.38，因此交易者似乎更倾向于寻求上涨机会而非下跌保护。
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- `# p9 A) ^# V% _3 [截至发稿时，比特币交易价格接近 87,800 美元，当日下跌 2.38%。但由于比特币在主要期权到期前往往波动较大，因此一旦合约到期、未平仓合约重置，价格很可能出现新的剧烈波动。/ Y" F. h% t* R' W8 y# e
8 v. I1 U# {& {9 G" A4 c' T* J比特币24小时价格。) ?3 c8 _, B+ ]2 G7 E
; v( _# k' T/ j' F: U& \鉴于此次事件的规模，即使临近到期日价格出现小幅波动，也可能引发剧烈波动，因为交易员会平仓并解除对冲。
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" Y2 ^' z t8 E' n0 |值得注意的是，此次交易的时机恰逢假期周，而假期周通常是市场流动性较弱的时期。换句话说，大额订单可能会比平时更剧烈地影响价格。
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最终，这些惊人的数字进一步印证了市场已经变得多么受机构驱动，衍生品流动越来越左右价格走势，无论价格朝哪个方向发展。! y* M# a2 w( `5 ?% u9 b
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