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当地时间6月1日，美联储将正式开始“量化紧缩”，以每月475亿美元的步伐缩表，将在三个月内逐步提高缩表上限至每月950亿美元。
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自美联储年内开始加息，加密市场持续动荡，本轮缩表又会对其带来什么影响呢？
1 T" |; q. L% O+ H; p. p澳洲加密货币交易所Swyftx通讯经理Tom Matthews表示，缩表将对加密市场造成负面影响。
3 A6 r2 F$ j4 h; I9 m& O“你很有可能看到加密市场总市值略微下滑。”他说，“美联储缩减资产负债表的力度和速度都超出分析师预期，你很难想象这会不会对投资者情绪带来某种影响。”
- ]) m, \5 O) d2 Y, {- w$ lTom Matthews认为，尽管加密市场动荡不安，但比特币可能会从中受益。“比特币市值占加密市场总市值的比例为47%，较2022年初上涨了8个百分点。” : p6 ~6 b; g" j5 q% d( i+ B
加密投资者CryptoWhale在社交媒体上也表达了相似的观点。他指出，从历史上看，比特币从未在美联储缩表期间进入过牛市。“（比特币）巨大崩溃是不可避免的。”
0 B% u7 A e! W" a. T在大量流动性的推动之下，加密市场总市值从2020年3月的1620亿美元飙升至2021年11月的3万亿美元，但进入2022年，加密市场总市值已经下滑至1.3万亿美元。 " S7 V+ i0 ~0 m
然而，也有分析师认为，缩表对于加密市场影响不大。金融咨询公司deVere Group首席执行官Nigel Green认为，加密市场对于缩表的反应不大，因为（这一事件）“已经被市场充分定价了”。 $ m4 Q2 v' u3 t3 }; ?. P& U0 J7 s. x
截至撰稿，比特币价格报31700美元附近，以太坊价格报1950美元附近。
9 z+ m: S; I5 n# W4 q3 w" p, T行情方面
+ k: T& z3 v. W# Q+ Q! p% au价持续下跌，是否意味着行情短期内会有大的反转？
5 d/ Q# o( }+ l六月初的缩表和中旬的加息多少会给市场带来大的冲击，所以在期货进场方面依然不能忽视有瀑布的风险，所以在操作上该带好止盈止损一定要做好防控措施。还是以这几天的看法来，压力位附近分批进场。
. A+ b& F! t7 g) bBTC短期阻力：32500,33500；长期有效阻力：36000ETH短期阻力：2050，2150；长期有效阻力：2580 $ b/ x9 J; U* a3 }$ y
以上仅为个人观点，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。
$ N# [- ~% `, P% u% T/ h/ a4 N2 k来源：金色财经 |
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