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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.14早间补充 勿追空 不抄底 短线反弹即空 短期不存在连续性反弹
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这轮熊市的祸首是膨胀、
9 Q1 N& @1 A U- d `* {膨胀引发加息、加息关键数据看cpi。
8 u8 p! }& A1 h6 Y* M由25基点提示至50基点，五月cpi不降反升。
3 x- N( J/ U3 v1 n- L说明50基点出现徒劳、 6 {0 V5 e: S0 d* X7 J \
迫使接下来加息压力增高！
, g" I- C9 X. L# d/ b7 e5 k: O- _/ o' V而最新数据显示、6月加息75基点概率已升至75%。
8 K8 e9 r: W7 a3 o2 C; B: Pcoinbase单日跌超18%、美股连续单日重挫3%、再次进入熊市阶段。 % f, a) f9 W* P$ u; n
特斯拉、等机构相继出现巨大未实现亏损、
! D6 i7 }2 X% a3 o; O大饼以太相继跌破5.19低点、许多山寨甚至跌幅达到3.12水平。
- s" c% m8 w* j5 ~- }- z- F大饼月线月线呈实体阴线，这是很危险信号。
# v2 S5 Q; P7 l! \! b指数呈极度恐慌，市场整体全面蔓延避险意识。 5 M2 B& n/ a9 d' ]& U, }7 O
指望V转、基本不可能。 & M# _4 E3 U9 V5 s5 f" W7 u
展望后市、如去年所说，5.19后、没有美联储刺激放水，基本不会有快速的第二轮牛市， , G0 U- K, v5 I, @, Q6 O1 E
那现在，再次牛市，周期或许要很久。 + j- H3 z) N+ w# U
日线横盘、尚且难熬，出现月线横盘，才是煎熬。
, V, V! K# ~) z" P3 x+ K) e5 u2 u短期短线，主思路、反弹即空。 ! D ^) {' j2 f z6 u
行情不会出现暴力翻转、 1 X- ]0 i* q/ B. K; k& b+ t$ J* O
至于长线，稳健者，建议以cpi数据稳定，做参考点。 0 L, ~9 c4 ]5 l- Z/ t, {
否则加息时刻会重度创伤市场、 0 Y3 o1 g" }" k
但有一点、
& n$ S0 P8 p" Z2 B牛短熊长、现货被套勿割、拿好。牛还会有。 : o+ p. N3 v6 R' R
但周期会很难熬。坚持住。 : I( L: l2 I/ p& d3 ?. l- d( w
对于这个市场，个人依旧有绝对的信心。
2 f9 h9 f; [5 @4 n% c+ c% Y未来可期。 8 T4 Z1 L+ f; F
只是短线处于环境原因、确实不利。
/ U4 J/ q W }. p* g今天重点关注美联储是否排除7月加息75基点。 $ U8 h2 o$ ]0 h# c) O5 k7 f- v
上篇点位，依旧可作为白盘进场点位。 7 o* X2 A4 ]8 p( r9 @/ M$ ]
来源：金色财经 |
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