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[lastpost] => 2687600 比特币还在涨，破了7万2美元啦 1730263774 22301
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
& H) ?' O( C% E) ^2 F# d8 Q+ ]尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；9 P$ C7 C. I, g0 b! s
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；; y/ G3 l+ W0 @
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根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；+ m! A! @7 [( E# ?
G7 r2 @+ D H' x9 z$ x在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；: g% Y/ N: X0 ?2 N7 q: F
& X# R4 W. `& t% z+ F下一步BTC上涨？
1 @7 P- y. U0 o1 t/ A采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
, e9 E5 U, m- v( m& [
5 s. T6 Z, ^! j! _% M( ?2 J此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
+ H9 X2 x6 R7 T
6 M. ~0 T. M2 z% S7 F) |; Y# c尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。" l6 P4 m* ?& t. a
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Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；& V( d% W& z" W
) _0 y' m; z, x
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：$ Z6 B! T1 d5 a+ q% }
6 x0 e" \0 I9 u: o. L6 s. M" t
另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；
" t" n; v/ x7 b( I# U& ^: F
4 r3 p1 s, m9 t$ h8 T% S自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
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有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
: Z$ e, s" Y, Q9 J
' X& C2 d' L* ?, s6 r( g L( t& |在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,& k5 F: V2 \3 w: g$ t1 T/ v+ U; A
( }4 @# D' A- u* {6 L' C“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；
# z1 b* \/ Y) O
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