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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位
0 ?" B4 {3 s# |/ P% |6 q9 ?0 C- l( s% o- k2 H1 z* _7 w1 c
(1)对下游球队的战绩。3 I" R/ u% S- l" C6 [! a

7 v& H' M8 T. j5 T" j6 j! |$ J. [(2)对中游球队的战绩。& p! ?0 z/ F& |% K

6 r8 b+ N4 w; P/ n(3)对上游球队的战绩。
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(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录- g3 q2 q/ ^! t4 o
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一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。, l! @; v' {+ \, K! x3 u
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2、对比主客场胜率6 w3 b! }3 f; i: k( {

8 V' ^: Y8 r7 d" `; ~- w(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高
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(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高" h8 t% j# j1 z; {7 }6 `" v

/ y( t2 X, {2 |( q3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照
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' n, D( d( a/ j) W) O) e* c( s(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。7 \9 m5 j9 D$ Z: ]% N
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(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)0 Q& `% C5 R( [% J; ], Q$ [6 @
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(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大
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(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大  h4 ?6 \8 \1 x; c

' |; w: D9 J& u6 ?. }3 ~* Z# y: a' u3 o4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。 2 n9 R8 u0 y* B' j$ O

5 ^1 H, J4 Z  i" }) Z$ s! b(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易6 a: C# B' G4 t7 m0 ?& I# }7 U
+ S9 h' p' {5 n6 m3 E
成为热点。1 h7 X$ E3 U  x2 ?

* V2 e" r! X' R5 x4 u/ B$ @3 o(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。9 Q* B- q: x# m3 V
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(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。
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4 N! V8 [% B& [* E(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。
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(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。/ K* G2 _9 T  e/ k8 I6 v

* h7 p- K2 `* y  `* s5、确定受热方向
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根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:
# V( p! o% o+ w+ y' `- y. P. }: a6 G* J) G% i; s
(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金
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流入。
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(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。
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5 g$ W! v' s7 s: L- Z4 a: f$ x: W(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做' N" @& Y5 f; B! ?
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冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。6 I0 k. j$ N; P2 y
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(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上+ {3 C+ I4 O( f; @
3 t2 V* o* P3 L; {, g. q( d
盘出。 9 i% Y' t% c. }# h" u( p! M3 d8 w

# ?; p- i) E6 y. [# }* m8 h) e(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。, H* {0 }0 T" t9 n

9 N& @  z& M3 y3 [(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。
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9 H# _7 D( p" y  v盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。3 z" L) t: }; l) Y3 f9 B4 J. n
" l" e0 s. u; {6 C( N( [
盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。: X7 s% c( y# W" B; G: y' a

) |& }2 N5 c4 ?% t4 k1 p6 T4 Z(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。$ _, g+ Q$ r6 W5 H7 E

5 d; T3 N& p3 \% X* v6、最后检验阶段
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以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:6 W* T# \) F) S  `: V: h2 q

. c0 ]% r$ F( P2 ](1)检查高峰期水位。0 q3 z) y6 M; B+ N

: O9 M7 C' y0 S- ^  i(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。4 g; S$ [' Z+ ?2 n5 Q, r
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(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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