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[p=30, 2, left]据澳门博彩监察协调局(Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau)日前披露的数据,澳门截止9月底博彩收入总计1,332亿澳门元,按年增长60%。众多投行认为,受惠于旅游开放,特别是大陆的经济增长,今年澳门博彩业将有大幅增长,股市也会有不错表现,10月份更将有一个“翘尾”效应,AERL等实力股和概念股兼具的公司于同期的增长更取得105%,料全年有更大增长。[/p][p=30, 2, left]美银美林表示, 9月份是传统淡季,是夏季假期结束和天朝内地国庆黄金周假期之间,处于一个相对平静期。不过10月份受大陆黄金周旅游增长的影响,澳门博彩业将增长强劲。分析认为,包括纳斯达克澳门博彩推广第一股亚洲娱乐资源有限公司(AERL / 该集团),(股票号码: AERL (NASDAQ) and AERLW (NASDAQ)),香港上市的澳BO控股(0880.HK)、永利澳门(1128.HK) 均将有大幅增长。苏格兰皇家银行(RBS)发表报告,预期今年澳门的博彩收入按年增50%至220亿美元,而今年以来的增速则达63%.[/p][p=30, 2, left]资料显示,由于去年第四季的强劲增长,今年澳门博彩业略有回落,但增势不弱。从股市表现来看,在香港市场,澳门概念股在近日上涨后可能走势停滞,因强劲的运营数据已与市盈率得到反应;如永利澳门(1128HK)的市盈率为38倍;金沙天朝(1928HK)的市盈率更为60倍。至于澳门博彩推广股如海王国际(0070HK)的市盈率亦有14倍以上。惟能于美国博彩业竞争激烈的美国纳斯达克市场成功上市的澳门第一博彩推广股竟为低于5倍的市盈率,因美国市场未能反映澳门博彩业的势头以致股价大大偏低,其真正价值仍未被市场发现。[/p][p=30, 2, left]选择在纳斯达克上市的AERL,因为高业绩和高增长率的支撑,以及基于更为广泛的国际资本平台,可以吸引更为广泛的投资者,因其现价远未与在港挂牌的同类股份看齐,正为寻宝人士投资的好机会。AERL收入中的大部分与转码数直接挂钩,AERL公布2010年直至9月份未经审计的转码数(Rolling Chip Turnover)显示,公司在澳门的两个贵宾厅的总转码数为67.34亿美元,与去年同期的32.84亿美元相比,增长了105%。[/p][p=30, 2, left]AERL的贵宾厅主要经营高注码的百家乐博彩。根据澳门特别行政区ZF博彩监察协调局的统计,澳门DC约88%的赢钱都来自百家乐。在澳门,用于贵宾厅博彩推广公司的酬劳方法有两种。其一是采取固定佣金模式,贵宾厅博彩推广公司按商定的转码数比例获得收入;其二是采取输/赢分成模式,贵宾厅博彩推广公司按商定的贵宾厅“赢钱”比例获得收入(外加一定的奖励),但如果输钱,也要承担同样比例的损失。AERL的大部分业务均采取固定佣金方式,风险系数也随之较低,这亦是AERL比其它澳门博彩概念股优胜之处。[/p][p=30, 2, left]分析认为,随着国庆黄金周,圣诞、元旦、春节等节日的密集到来,受旅游,特别是大陆假日经济,来澳门游客的带动,澳门博彩业将直接受益,博彩推广公司业绩大多会出现“翘尾”效应[/p] |
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