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[虚拟币交流]
比特币流动性转向美国 现货ETF重塑加密货币市场(转)
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归功于美国新推出的比特币交易所交易基金(ETF),与海外平台相比,美国加密货币交易所的比特币交易显得更为容易。: Y5 i3 s5 ~5 r: J' M( p# S
) S. f5 l$ b8 F" E 研究公司Kaiko的数据显示,今年到目前为止,美国交易场所的交易行为平均占比特币中间价2%以内买卖行为的近一半,
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该数据统计区间跨越了美国比特币现货ETF的推出事件。出价和要价在中间价2%以内的交易行为,可以在不过度扰乱价格的情/ g& g/ N. K' R0 y* p$ R% ?
4 e) w5 e& h5 _* B况下执行订单,该指标数量越多,表明流动性越好。根据这一指标,2023年,非美国平台在比特币市场深度上占据了绝大部分份额。! Q/ J: F: g( J! b! g
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今年1月11日,九个美国比特币ETF首次亮相,而拥有十多年历史的Grayscale比特币信托基金也在同一天转换为比特币ETF。迄今
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为止,包括贝莱德和富达投资在内的这组产品已经吸引了50亿美元的投资净流入。对这些产品的期待和推出,刺激了比特币价格在过
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去12个月里翻了一番。. }2 ]% n5 I: X; d
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流动性增加
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现货ETF发行商之一VanEck的数字资产研究主管马修·西格尔(Matthew Sigel)说:“比特币的积极价格走势在美国交易时段最为
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明显,因为市场参与者利用了流动性增加的优势。”
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一些观察家将比特币现货ETF视为一个拐点,称ETF将扩大加密货币的采用。乐观人士预计,数字资产交易量将从FTX交易所及其
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姊妹对冲基金阿拉米达研究公司(Alameda Research)在2022年熊市中倒闭后的低迷水平恢复过来。) D* N; d7 R5 B
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ETF的影响已经显现。例如,根据Kaiko高级分析师Dessislava Aubert的数据,目前57%的比特币兑美元交易在美国市场时段进行,3 ~1 j& [/ \% r' I5 i2 |; e
& \! Q+ T" z& M& r3 E; M% h0 B而一年前这一比例仅为48%。 o0 N( r5 j( ~0 y
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未平仓合约) F U& q5 f3 D8 ^
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值得注意的是,在衍生品领域,芝加哥商品交易所比特币期货市场的未平仓合约正向ETF获批时创下的历史最高水平回升。未平, u: U3 p5 P1 ]/ M2 |* N7 N
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仓合约的增加表明,美国机构对加密货币相关的风险敞口和对冲更感兴趣。% m) i2 r0 n/ J; j0 j
" f6 r7 m! @$ u1 R2 L0 u1 Z 在每日美国市场收盘时,比特币ETF将根据专用基准计算其资产净值,这一过程有助于发现比特币价格。
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加密货币主经纪商FalconX的研究主管戴维·劳恩特(David Lawant)说,这种“透明、可靠的参考点”使投资者能够“在指定时间集* p( \' w F. H2 w6 b/ U
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中进行大额交易”,因此可能减少了对市场的影响。/ G g6 g) a5 D7 G/ T/ q4 m
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Lawant说,投资者需要密切关注ETF的流入情况,因为“当买入流消退时,价格更可能回落”。
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