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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 + ^, d4 r$ P, w8 p: @. w
行情补充、
, }% B _; j# f u o在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 1 [2 c% }- ?; k. _3 a1 Y
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
8 Y. b5 k; N6 E1 k关于疑问、一一回复。
' c% ?* W# V! _- H2 C4 k5 i今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
1 l& O {* r) {) g2 b( G- \
( ~. E( v8 n) \' W, y; D8 g
首先就个人的主观来说、 ) q# T" j3 B, } R7 s t
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 $ _8 P; o) I3 Y4 o0 F0 b/ X
极度憧憬市场的未来！
/ w% i: }6 F( \4 v但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 ! B- C- i4 b& [0 O
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 + q4 m1 V" Z- T6 \+ p( b
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 ; V3 J7 y4 s! _: f+ k
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 5 i J8 r8 C' H# J: @. u
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
3 r' {$ D$ H- w- M. |* m其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
& b+ d% j" a, p6 E2 D# A, N（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
" O& e6 F6 g' U3 H" l3 R) S- j+ d为什么会跌、 $ f* P- |. ?! u) O# u/ B( h
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 + S' X0 e/ ~7 M( @8 M% E
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
) r6 U: D* A$ K2 I3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 , a f9 \7 t- R4 ?0 E2 k
综上造成的下跌、
4 K6 I8 {: Q% S1 ?8 t$ v这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 [. a# K9 k$ o) J
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 ) Z" F& r# E1 I: [9 v* v: O! \
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
, _4 ~1 a1 |5 y0 Y% L来决定行情是否好转。 : T- `& z5 s* M3 B
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
4 Z; L P: G. m/ C# P" _ t在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 4 t( t4 M1 {: B0 N
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
; z+ z$ K$ B6 w+ M& V ~周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 ; h ?1 d4 n2 v$ p6 i/ w
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
8 W+ A( Q+ x* q: |+ d; o: \- s9 ~看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
! n: T n7 I6 H6 x# D& \日内大饼反弹、 8 ?( s" u" n; J- L7 T
26150高空
. Z1 h; W; H+ j6 m; G( d: T( r) Q% t26350补仓
. }" v" D4 v6 c5 q26550防守
! c b8 |8 |2 U1 M q, w目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
" V2 m- \2 z! E以太反弹 8 v4 }9 @) T! C) X5 k4 W: Z7 X2 W( Y
1380高空
$ u1 ]$ K+ K/ J2 L1400补仓
( [2 n' U% w' m9 {3 n& u1420防守 2 l" [- W, c! Q0 o2 c: e, g" O7 m2 z
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 3 v6 C* l% C( C) g0 I
附言、
& [# i# L" Q) |8 x/ E( Z: n许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
5 x5 X2 ^ i' X# w2 R+ M是正常现象，
& Y0 c2 u& l7 N2 z8 |3 q9 `合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 ( \4 E1 i/ A3 e: j7 ], F
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
1 c3 Q1 b- e- Q% r9 r大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 $ j% T# q4 S3 x6 r8 N
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 ( Y% c5 O7 Y% f- I+ x
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 & K/ a* |8 z, d- i* X; R) @5 l
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 8 |2 V' V$ ?" N4 y* Y0 R
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 . H% f' }9 K8 x" c) {* x ]
但现阶段，要承受的住。 7 u& h2 F! E. v; R* h) o+ r7 [, \
最后再强调、现货勿割。 0 \( J- f# p8 t, l
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 7 E: q# ]1 T3 [0 ?. n
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
: K7 P; J# Y5 d: Y5 C稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 8 u6 c5 U. E$ J9 d& W: J$ O' a* D& ~% W# f
这个市场， ' C# z6 a1 A. J" |; p9 J
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
2 u5 u7 y; l" f5 D! w8 h最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 # l8 P S& i! |5 I7 N
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
* Z& N+ |8 k Z/ [+ ]* d/ b: l6 r+ ?但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
/ a# ~+ ^5 C% n& g6 L2 }- e来源：金色财经 |
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