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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
* E& {6 \* N' M) K- t* z/ s+ D行情补充、
# L* `8 p0 ~, Y在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 6 N3 k" m+ A1 y% U
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 3 L+ ]5 Y+ c- t; Z- U
关于疑问、一一回复。 9 R0 i9 L3 a% H* L6 I
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 7 X6 `$ i- [% S
8 z# B$ O' W5 J# I! D首先就个人的主观来说、
3 d( R) t7 |; z- x( d对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
6 j( h4 ]: r0 Q0 o3 t极度憧憬市场的未来！
& u+ _- u2 q9 M; c4 ~# @2 n但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 / j& h; g) g! M0 c: N; \
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 5 i; _! p( g" A
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
1 @/ @" \. g# I$ A z) }' B. ]0 A" a会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 3 r' _4 r. [0 v) Y" S
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 - U* E) N T$ Y( c$ T1 q
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 , S$ r1 v' D4 x% B6 \
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
, ^. a4 Z; u/ o8 I/ T为什么会跌、 ( k) P0 y! k! N. R9 Q- \7 j7 Y$ v- h
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
2 l9 P i+ ?+ I, A1 |2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
# r% F W5 y. \* Y2 h' {0 k3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 . y+ b5 y/ }. f. ]# Q
综上造成的下跌、 : n+ g$ K( R8 q) \& e7 E( S _' J
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
- P$ r& ?# } z1 [, _/ g0 C8 V/ ?也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
9 t1 z$ T6 D4 s9 [/ ?% j* A$ M) ~熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 - u* o& B* p1 R- z# W1 _" h
来决定行情是否好转。
1 n7 S6 Y9 @3 Q! b至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
]" G' L5 S# ]7 G在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. ' }- H! |7 b; @5 y1 t, |: o
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 / `% i" p P: o2 T0 E* q
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 1 g, ]# |/ ]& [- ~; g$ [3 L
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 ! d" a Y) j ~; z4 h
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 3 N1 C% e" a' u* G
日内大饼反弹、
' i: ?+ Q; D2 t" F" P2 D26150高空 ; _/ b; p5 [2 A( X# H! ]
26350补仓
% L: l5 y! K/ B* q% x: L* J26550防守 0 K" T$ A0 M$ f
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
0 g! Y# I: ]( w' a" X, r以太反弹
. G% C& h3 m: O1380高空 ' U& n, W/ I& r- |
1400补仓
' K2 y/ m0 p+ r/ C! n, v; z1420防守
* I. C! Z3 t8 L9 ]& ]% Z目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 - H( A7 |' T# p- c" Q
附言、 ' E' e6 |) t! \7 s: P
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 5 r" m4 o8 N2 P; Y
是正常现象， ( z- \1 E) S: \0 B0 m
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 7 ^; I: y$ M0 n5 y0 p, ?! y X
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
- ^* s: a8 R$ k. I$ S大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 e' N8 q! b7 k' l# U$ ]6 A
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 * |, r, Z9 @8 C# k4 M0 g
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 : J5 X4 _5 u/ ]8 @$ h) s# ~- D
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
- j# [- i$ d2 E, c' e8 R& B5 i相信七月公布时，会较理想。
0 ~6 C( x4 ?& [4 K$ c但现阶段，要承受的住。
, O' t! K. U$ H2 g2 ]9 c. z5 g- K0 X最后再强调、现货勿割。 * T- S) q B5 Y# |4 f- m. u
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 * k0 [& v8 O6 n! v1 V
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 ! P7 Y* | U7 Z i: |4 @, k6 ^
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
8 @0 L P; A7 H8 y0 E! F这个市场，
6 P! i0 {0 z0 X6 `. `消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
) `8 Q o+ W; n9 n$ r" \- \最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
( Z- d1 Q* t {: M- P* ?切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 5 V; ~# v! }/ ~ E: k
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
6 |$ s& u- y6 I来源：金色财经 |
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