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[lastpost] => 2771854 如果Base有空投，你要怎么撸？（转） 1759853343 caoch
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在杰克逊霍尔会议导致美国市场崩溃后，比特币进入9月第一周，走的是一条坎坷的下坡路。
) Z4 a$ S. j+ m在美联储加强了对通货膨胀前景的鹰派言论后，风险资产全面抛售，加密货币仍在受余波影响。 9 s' Q9 }9 G6 b, a( F' {" i
相当稳定的周末并没有改善市场情绪，BTC的价格走势已经回到了20000美元下方的区域。 ' ?$ l S- y% a; j
这样一来，持续数周的上行实际上已经消失，交易员和分析师据此预计，比特币将重新测试今年6月的宏观低点。 - u. c8 v" ^" g9 E0 A
虽然在9月加息决定公布之前，有关美联储的一切都很平静，但由于地缘政治的不确定性和通货膨胀持续存在(欧洲的通胀仍在上升)，所以不安空间仍然很大。 7 A: }* n9 {5 S0 h- }
然而，就像上周一样，比特币作为一个网络似乎在基本面上具有弹性，链上数据与价格图表显示的情况完全不同。 ! h F3 c( J5 v# b6 r; U$ q) X
Cointelegraph在考虑BTC/USD未来几天可能的走向时研究了以下五个因素。 4 g3 T# z* S2 i
现货价格触发18000美元的目标价格# O6 L7 v4 _+ F% z/ l' d
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据证实，猜测BTC/USD在最新一周收盘时的走势并不令人惊讶。
; _, i1 T& n/ x5 ?! r( W: j3 k i在经历了一个相对平静的周末后，BTC/USD在8月28日结束时大幅抛售，创下自7月初以来的最低周收盘价。
9 X7 P% F+ `" O6 d# }( S2000美元的跌幅为多头结束了悲惨的8月，而在此之前一周，还损失了3000美元。
; q1 e3 T1 S/ r& c, G# [% R
. [) s" m2 y: X; p' n: `BTC/USD一周蜡烛图（Bitstamp）来源：TradingView - G# G4 V( A" p1 U! y& _
离月线收盘结束还有几天，分析师们的情绪在短期内不那么乐观，这是可以理解的。 + y$ b( L) e2 s$ ]
"希望我们能在本周看到复苏，但上周五股市的收盘方式看起来并不那么好，"交易员Josh Rager在周末更新的部分内容中向其推特粉丝总结道。 # R) ~1 ^' y5 f1 V% D* q
尽管如此，受欢迎的交易账户Il Capo of Crypto仍然认为，在下跌趋势持续之前，有可能出现短暂的上行挤压。
2 n# F: G( w, }' _: D8 e注意到负资金费率意味着衍生品市场倾向于直接亏损，他预测23000美元可能首先重新出现。
( b. R) i; c# ?3 q1 K/ ~交易员Mark Cullen回应说，交易员 "在20100美元和20300美元之间的区域增加了更多的BTC空头头寸"。
# o2 w e/ I5 Z3 l; t在17000美元或更低的预测中，技术分析师Gert van Lagen给出了日线图上17500美元的最低目标价格。
+ T8 x; A; F G) j9 m同时，TMV Crypto将18400美元视为值得关注的长时间框架领域。 5 z# n( i4 P* d
交易员为美股进一步下跌做准备4 q- ]6 \( I4 g) }; o) }) b) k
上周，美联储主席杰杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的重磅讲话给全球风险资产带来了冲击。 ( x9 P% P& A# p: I7 o7 K
根统计，鲍威尔8分钟的讲话使全球股市蒸发了超过2万亿美元，其中仅美国股市就占1.25万亿美元。
6 ~: Z" ^" g U1 i- c' k鲍威尔说："在某些时候，随着货币政策的立场进一步收紧，放缓加息步伐可能是合适的。" |
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