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[虚拟币交流]
联准会加息0.25、利率创22年新高!比特币冲高29700(转载)
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在今(27)日凌晨举办的美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上,联准会一如市场预测宣
1 t8 c% w" H8 f6 y- s/ n布升息一码,将基准利率调高至5.25%-5.50%,创下自2001年以来最高水平。0 R5 `9 Z7 P: X8 K
鲍威尔:9月不排除连续升息
' N# B0 c, y8 E* {1 h联准会声明同样保持先前立场,在实现2%的通胀目标之后,Fed才会考虑采取宽松的货币政策,并依旧将监测通
7 x5 n- \4 B) g/ J3 [9 m, O- [胀的滞后性:在确定额外政策紧缩程度以及当通胀率恢复到2%时,联准会才将考虑政策带来积累的紧缩、对经济( s0 T0 ~% B) O* v" g. J: i
活动造成的影响,并持续勘测通胀的滞后性。4 V+ l/ C {5 B
联准会主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)也表示当前不排除于9月FOMC会议上连续升息的可能:如果有数据支持,我
' u0 @! J( G; Q- w! y" p们有可能在9月的会议上继续提高利率…在有信心通膨可持续回落至2%目标之前,我们打算维持限制性立场。8 x( v* _. ^5 V6 G& ^
同时鲍威尔重申,联准会不太可能在今年降息,并指出部分FOMC成员已将明年降息纳入经济预测。根据4 K& R0 a8 K* p; @
CMEGroup的FedWatch工具显示,市场当前认为联准会在9月继续加息的概率为22%,而保持当前利率水准的概( h) N) x/ Y0 T$ @
率为78%
; M0 K7 I1 t3 W- g$ Q8 Y相信美国经济会软着陆' w. G3 L% u9 M& `9 Y0 K$ Y# u, i0 ~
至于短期的经济发展,当时6月的FOMC会议声明称经济活动持续以「适当的」(modest)的步伐扩张,本次声明' M$ \/ W5 i6 b& S; E, ^
则称:经济活动一直以「温和的」(moderate)步伐扩张。: g( ~8 o' |% A s
鲍威尔仍相信,联准会可以带领美国经济软着陆,在维持限制性政策、通膨率下降的同时,避免引起严重的经济
9 R% ?( f) L2 I5 e' m衰退。
- A- Y! B# n; k/ l- n3 E. d美股市场微跌,比特币突破$29,650
% t3 q4 {" F& k9 U( I: C由于升息一码符合市场此前的预期,因此美股市场并未发生过大的波动,四大指数市场表现如下:
! J* d W0 H2 e+ Y2 P道琼工业指数上涨0.23%(82.05点)、收35,520.12点; H& x0 K4 C7 k5 G
纳斯达克指数下跌0.12%(17.27点)、收14,127.28点
$ r, i, {0 ]. w# ? B标准普尔500指数下跌0.02%(0.71点)、收4,566.75点: c1 O7 p1 L( |4 p7 j
费城半导体指数下跌1.49%(55.89点)、收3,699.37点。
( f: o9 d" v* J+ Z6 F值得注意的是,比特币在联准会公布升息消息后再震荡中开启一波小幅上涨,一度逼近$29,700。截稿前,比特币2 d- P% x# u0 ?) z9 a) k
报价$29,342,近24小时涨幅0.5%。
! u# q" v% f. x* d
! l9 x1 u: S+ ^& f0 z* Y |
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