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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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6 D$ `% |+ O6 Y' J) V! V过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。 y0 c R* l5 V- D" P$ w
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
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, A4 w* ~4 K+ z. p1 F0 V3 \天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场+ Q" g) D: n. [) N
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处于健康的看涨状态。
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AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
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短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
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获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
# l) \ e) u; I- @8 b f- ^8 v
& F9 m1 _5 X7 N! T: }2 ~$ XAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，5 @; E- ^* ?- }, `1 j+ {) ]
8 f" e$ ~& T8 r) l4 Q l' C- RCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。3 |; F4 N, D4 ^$ b; n: d& @8 f; w
# L! N. e8 U4 \6 y# T
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
# v* [1 Y" H" Q# c6 u/ h$ q& A" M4 h& r' h) w, r( H( N" M& S) ^
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
, J6 y: R6 r7 k( S1 X4 h
8 y1 e- K* k8 K劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。' Q( q4 ?9 _8 z- K& z& v/ y/ B
8 C% K' {( R& a+ W# [8 e, V然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
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, U8 i9 W' u' Y6 @% ?5 g申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。8 L% G7 i" e: X* ~; E& N
+ \2 ^6 e2 d3 u. G% H+ p虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币' |: W7 P1 f( H2 n9 f- O4 I5 ]& s# I
6 Q5 O- t5 ^7 k: rNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
- k+ S1 T9 r# @
2 ]6 T. |" h6 _7 T绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法) ]0 c5 {0 ^# ^* g; o" Y8 @
9 n$ w$ n! C! o8 P5 ~( @1 m
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
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因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的1 Y( I, d9 X4 ^/ |/ X
. u. a( E$ t' ^! G0 R5 S关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。6 a9 o- }+ X% D
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