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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；
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0 u* x) m- s% \" q8 v据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元3 X7 e% _+ Y1 K* K' ^1 G
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“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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3 Y$ k% X9 ]1 Z0 U0 [就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；% C( u' V8 {1 q0 B/ D6 O
}0 D& e/ b% a4 G$ E3 v需求上升与风险- J* _8 E9 c0 a6 B) K8 k
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。
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* L+ n j2 y+ Z) v从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；$ L6 q* Q/ W. ^
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事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。3 U6 @& `" ^, M/ R R
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；: l& S: W4 V- @- i0 r- L" X
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因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；; Q/ F' o$ U* L L5 p/ H; R
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但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；
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( {0 U/ E# M+ g0 D8 R. m a* z对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。2 K7 U$ d% s" R& l! i
y* H& r% S: P+ ~+ Y' F- I根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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4 k2 o4 v* h4 p* O; r3 H* Q然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。
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) @2 M' W: W0 Q5 R0 h, C简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；7 j4 c1 J; n# a) t
3 N2 `' H# y+ ], v- q6 T9 x. z. Q! `与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）
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