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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
[复制链接]
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。; V# t7 a' H$ E) G+ Q! @6 j
; `; Y& B! U2 v由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。, Q) w9 ^5 |* a% P, A
0 r% V" \8 @0 |6 c9 V比特币重新分配正在进行
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。; k" Y, G2 K1 n8 e7 D4 X! E6 G; ?8 q
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。 _) x% X) ?, w X" ^
( E) k1 P( v0 U) m" X: x% @% H然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。& ~! ?" G/ I5 h8 m
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。) L- v) y* e% |, ?
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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4 y+ w/ K! e4 R8 [& I; q2 c b; Y# E# s仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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( z& _$ W& d' B: f2 m7 }当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。2 y5 z. j, B2 H1 |7 j, q3 L$ k2 q
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# k8 l6 s! q; q/ m- S比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微' k8 g' R5 u3 }5 O, z6 N9 g
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。& h" @: x1 E( }) K: b
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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; P, ?, r8 z$ _" F8 q/ ?( k9 N一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。0 ]1 u& j1 s( C- q( s
. z7 ~9 h/ G9 D* y现货交易商调整
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。# p5 M, I% i, B, @$ m( u
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4 U* w* l& q& t! N+ R8 B1 V' A0 g如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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