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[虚拟币交流]
XRP 期货未平仓合约创新低 市场多头动能减弱？（转）
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XRP 期货未平仓合约跌至 2025 年最低水平，表明交易者正在平仓杠杆头寸。 + v3 z* n8 Q* S5 ^" C
尽管这未必意味着市场整体看空情绪升温，但仍引发了对 XRP 近期多头动能是否减弱的担忧。
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根据 CoinGlass 数据，XRP 期货总未平仓合约降至 13.3 亿美元，较上周下跌 8%。 - c6 _6 U$ q2 Z" ~
资金费率显示市场情绪谨慎为了评估交易者是否对 XRP 失去兴趣，分析师通常会关注永续合约的资金费率，该指标反映了杠杆需求。
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当资金费率为正时，意味着多头（买盘需求）占据主导，市场情绪偏向看涨；反之，资金费率为负则表明市场倾向看空。 ; X/ W' y* N9 v$ k
自 12 月 9 日以来，XRP 的 8 小时资金费率一直接近零，表明多空杠杆需求处于平衡状态。
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XRP 上一次杠杆需求显著飙升是在 2024 年 12 月 4 日，当时受 140% 的暴涨推动。 - n" D- U: q* a" G$ D. [
然而，这一买盘压力随后引发了剧烈回调，XRP 在三日内大幅下跌 22%，凸显了杠杆交易带来的市场波动性。
# i3 d* d, H$ ~0 @* g1 b5 M1 j7 ~: IXRP 最近一次上涨发生在 2 月 12 日至 2 月 15 日期间，价格从 $2.41 飙升至 $2.83，涨幅达 17%。 , V% p2 X7 R. c! a* b; |
然而，与此前的上涨不同，资金费率数据显示杠杆买盘并未同步增加，这表明交易者可能变得更加谨慎，或已将关注点转向其他加密资产。
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影响 XRP 市场前景的关键因素之一仍是 Ripple 与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的法律纠纷。
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尽管 SEC 近期已撤销对 Coinbase、OpenSea、Robinhood 和 Uniswap 的诉讼，但 Ripple 仍是个例外。 8 q& h, W0 J, b9 |- o$ @: k7 D& r
不过，若 Ripple 能意外迎来有利判决，XRP 或将迎来强劲反弹。
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Ripple 的战略推进遭遇阻力XRP 面临的另一挫折源于市场消息称，Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse 试图游说美国ZF建立“战略数字资产储备”，以实现资产配置多元化、突破比特币主导地位，但最终未能成功。
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Riot Platforms 研究副总裁 Pierre Rochard 指出，前总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）ZF已明确表示，不再推动设立专门的加密货币委员会，这进一步降低了 XRP 获得ZF支持的可能性。
3 o* O& B$ N6 E. ^7 x7 _% L# H* |截至目前，XRP 报价 $2.19，日内跌幅超 4%。
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过去几日，XRP 价格大幅回调 16.8%（2 月 23 日至 2 月 26 日），导致 7,900 万美元杠杆多单爆仓。
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分析师认为，XRP 需突破并企稳 $2.22 才能恢复看涨结构。 ' i7 J5 l; W( O/ y0 \
若买盘压力增强，XRP 或将冲击 $2.25 关键阻力位，该水平是短期走势的重要分水岭。 一旦突破 $2.30，将确认趋势反转，或进一步测试 $2.35-$2.40 区间，打开更大上涨空间。 ) C' {) @6 }; R
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