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比特币必须突破8.9万!分析师关键信号:未能确认底部恐引发新一轮暴跌
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! @0 i, Z7 }! i! g6 P4 o' b" _- c周四,比特币反弹至83000美元附近后喘息,多头加密货币分析师Matthew Hyland表示,比特币必须确保本周收盘价高于89000美元才能确认底部已经过去,
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否则可能引发新一轮暴跌。
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Hyland认为89000美元水平至关重要,根据CoinGlass数据显示,比特币跌破89000美元将清算约16亿美元的空头仓位。2 p, P" b: g: a, J0 i+ F3 D4 C
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他警告称,如果比特币未能收于该水平之上,其价格可能跌至74000美元至69000美元之间,这是比特币自2024年11月以来从未达到的水平。% j" c: c# ]2 o- j6 i
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他说:“在未来几周或几个月内,比特币可能会在某个支撑位测试这一下限。”$ n n0 ~ N P: c5 @" x
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“如果我们的周收盘价确实高于这一区域,我认为比特币的低点已经到来,我们不会跌到这个区域,”他说。% Q( K$ r/ Y( d& ]
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Hyland也强调,当比特币突破阻力位时,通常会导致进一步上涨。8 [; c8 g, c% {5 t
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然而,由于宏观经济因素,美国对比特币的需求近期一直在下降。
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" F/ G5 O) w1 t' l/ @* qCryptoQuant表示,上周比特币的需求与前一周相比下降103000枚比特币,这是自2024年7月以来最快的收缩速度。5 z+ D x0 s q8 n- v+ F8 w
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该机构解释说,美国比特币需求近期下降是由于美国通胀率的不确定性,以及美国总统特朗普于2月1日征收的关税。' o( u& N5 u1 S
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3月7日,美联储主席鲍威尔重申不急于调整利率。
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华人分析师Phyrex Ni表示,相隔四个工作日后,比特币的未平合约仍然没有大幅上升的迹象,说明现在的投资者还是处于迷茫的阶段,对多空并没有完全的把握。7 ~5 a/ A. s" \0 a0 N0 ~
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他指出,尽管比特币最近一段时间价格的表现并不是很好,但是93000至98000美元 之间的密集筹码区仍然没有出现崩溃的问题,这部分的投资者离场已经越来越少。& u0 [( ]- }+ \* k
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“尽管可能在重新回到95000美元的时候会有一些压力,但在这之前对于价格的影响仍然是超短期投资者为主,从换手的数据中也能看出。”& [9 U& ]2 Z$ k' h- Z
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