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[lastpost] => 2788753 比特币在FOMC会议后下跌,此举为新的政策基调定下基调。(转) 1765464486 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境& }, ]* W/ Z# y$ ~7 \
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
$ T7 v/ L; u7 c5 ?" b似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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1 _% _7 @' | U实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。9 H9 g+ H; e5 u1 R
( C9 Q! v& p4 e6 e1 y& S1 o- ?5 ~这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。# k7 b( V- R0 i# Q& b2 u
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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$ D6 ^; J4 z3 ^: h+ u% V红色海洋中的四个幸存者# h! @ g$ p9 ?) P
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。- ~6 d( P' f: ~" q7 U% j$ N
: ]4 h% Z9 B# f* _$ U简而言之,表现不佳。8 h% A$ I& }: ~" G9 X# o4 y9 z
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。& g; w, G& K- Q2 [' w4 O) R
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。4 P: Y& K& t3 P
( L. X$ }* O3 m4 {, |Altcoin信誉的消失法案7 ?4 g; e1 z7 t4 J
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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交易的势头最近也消失了。
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。2 y- m4 h( r1 x7 K3 a% Y4 E
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这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。% m& A; h6 S( B
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。# V4 \( O4 W H3 ^# a* n P6 Y# U1 y
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当高峰转向警告时
3 F5 B+ i) g! V8 f& ^2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。
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' M( A( k/ D) Z" b' Y! t+ I比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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' O( X9 [# r7 `) M& w- m这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。8 H% V2 J5 e3 }! M5 ]3 k
* ~! k0 Y7 _- S+ }比特币还是胸围?+ T3 t: i. P" u( d
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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, K7 M0 x4 |2 Q4 @/ H0 _就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。$ d1 {% i0 l2 ]7 K/ {. b
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