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[lastpost] => 2788753 比特币在FOMC会议后下跌,此举为新的政策基调定下基调。(转) 1765464486 人生如赌
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当前离线
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BCA Research表示,投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑,而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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. Y4 S! _+ W5 E. s 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出,目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产,并在股票投资中降低对美国2 p N1 d& O4 d* B5 |+ i
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市场的权重。原因在于,海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产,担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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' `6 k* W; a( V, m; h. ~ 与此同时,BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围,并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月,BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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“短期看空”比特币。
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; k% u! G2 B+ s! T: t “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下,比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道,“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来,活跃交易的比特币在整体已7 q" b1 \' Q' R& I5 D5 W
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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报告还指出,比特币作为“数字黄金”,正越来越像实物黄金那样表现,在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。* U6 z. M1 A C5 i# b
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根据Coin Metrics的数据,自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期,现货黄金上涨了8%,
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( D! w2 A. O2 U! u# z4 a0 p* `而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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BCA在报告中进一步指出:“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺,但关税政策的模糊性,已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外,“激烈的- L4 ~1 T- J6 C+ T/ `
; b9 }& j5 B% h利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛,但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号,才能恢复投资。”报告写道,“若无法及时提供清晰政策," ~+ \4 {3 S! W @9 t# ~+ |
' c4 V8 X( Z" m) `: x将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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