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[虚拟币资讯]
卡尔达诺以 1 美元的价格一展身手了吗？6 月的硬分叉 FOMO 将 ADA 价格提升至每周高点
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大家好
, {7 D& B! j5 }! A7 |4 F我是币圈小沫沫~
( t( ]1 b$ H2 U3 ]( @- g2 j) D+ R卡尔达诺之前的硬分叉引发了大规模的 ADA 价格上涨。这次会有所不同吗？ / X8 N6 ~: j' T' b
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卡尔达诺 ( ADA ) 是其中表现最好的6 月 6 日，交易员评估了一项关键升级，该升级有望增强其区块链的智能合约功能。
4 p; U! l. m: @$ B5 c9 tVasil 硬分叉 FOMO
- e) m5 s' O; m被称为“Vasil”，所谓的硬分叉事件暂定于 2022 年 6 月 29 日举行。由于围绕此次升级的兴奋，交易员开始更多地猜测 ADA 的上行前景，使其表现优于其他顶级数字资产。 ; {+ I9 Z/ ^$ x; B0 F1 P; \0 ?& f& o
例如，ADA 的价格在 6 月 6 日上涨了 14% 以上，达到 0.64 美元，而其最大竞争对手以太 ( ETH ) 在同一天上涨了 6%。 6 \5 d0 K, ^3 B
' e: F$ Y1 ~1 N( U' D4 z卡尔达诺的价格历史也显示了在硬分叉事件发生前几天交易者的类似欣快行为。例如，“Alonzo 于 2021 年 9 月升级，将智能合约功能引入卡尔达诺网络，在 ADA 价格上涨 200% 以上之前，如下所示。 * e4 F. R3 T3 y4 b/ O8 V' G
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同样，卡尔达诺在 2021 年 3 月的“玛丽”硬分叉出现在 ADA 超过 1,600% 的价格暴涨之前。
# b/ B! J$ b. N( g* L& nADA牛市陷阱
/ |, n( Z% Q# x先前导致硬分叉事件的价格上涨也发生在扩张的宏观环境中. 当时，利率接近于零，美联储每月购买价值 1200 亿美元的政府债券。 ! e" c$ [" J5 } i, F+ l: I% L
但目前，美联储已转为鹰派在目睹通胀持续走高之后。因此，许多分析师认为，现在购买股票和加密货币等风险较高资产的美元流动性减少了。 3 M0 h p4 P" w; K8 ^9 N7 l
卡尔达诺在美联储收紧政策的压力下摇摇欲坠，ADA 的交易价格比其 2021 年 9 月的峰值 3.16 美元低了近 80%。更广泛的下行趋势还包括显着反弹，如下图所示。 4 M5 T; w, | X, \* A& U
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ADA价格为1美元？
/ a* n9 g! Y+ s2 s' ^# _$ Z& |从技术角度来看，ADA 现在测试阻力汇合点，包括下降趋势线及其 50 天指数移动平均线（50 天 EMA；红色波浪）接近 0.66 美元和水平趋势线（颈线）接近 0.62 美元，构成似乎成为“双底”形态。 % s5 u* D) p- n9 U5 v) g
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突破阻力汇合点可能触发双底突破。 7 R4 v# {" u( c' p" E! N
作为技术分析的规则，交易者通过将底部水平和颈线之间的距离与突破点相加来衡量双底的突破目标。这使得 6 月份的目标价为 0.87 美元，较 6 月份的价格上涨约 40%，并且可能在 Vasil 升级之前。 $ u; K. q3 s6 M9 X+ S- k' J2 Q
后续反弹还可能看到 ADA 测试其 200 天指数移动平均线（200 天 EMA；蓝色波浪）接近 1 美元以实现突破或回调。然而，鉴于普遍存在的宏观风险，回调似乎更有可能。 ' [9 M4 j3 g# h" ~; U$ ]/ A% b; q" ~
此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。 " {) {+ s7 e- g& K1 E
好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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