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[lastpost] => 2764980 月度报告重点呈现：Bitget 期货 ETH 交易量跻身前三，再创历史新高 1757655647 右耳
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.8行情虽熊 但低点支撑强硬 不予低位追空 相反埋伏短多长多 6月整体看修复
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近几日行情受消息影响、振幅较大。 ! n& G) f9 D8 n6 ^& u# G) I9 L
但综合，下不破29000、上不过32000.
3 g, \7 s$ H, e, M1 k' A0 [依旧处于底部箱体阶段！
' m, Z$ ]9 L7 T& n2 c+ N- k其中也看出上涨、不具备连续性！
& y: r. u+ o' ?0 n" M5 u2 e4 c极易走出老韭菜口中的画门行情、 - v4 K% H3 @/ k9 o) ?: D K2 n
所以操作上、尽可能避免追涨杀跌！
0 q4 B) T; w- q% z但可在空间内、逢日线高低峰值附近进行短线布局。 , u1 L3 F5 K. b, a' w" X. B* b
技术面补充、
, P/ |" B( K% c8 x在5.12创出低于5.19的26700低点后、
% O9 N( h5 E9 `8 L2 Q' z一月以来行情基本未再失守28000点， 4 c( ?+ K* B2 x: {
而以太多次坚挺于2700上方、 # h% S8 @; j! @, N- o
充分说明这两个支撑具有极强参考性！
. G# \7 o/ I9 |/ n/ I1 l7 Z* I也说明，该区域不具备更大抛压。
& j8 T/ p& o( s: J7 O; S所以从趋势看，在6-8月间，未出现大于50基点，市场低点基本止于此。
2 V3 n& O8 r" y) p& D$ Q, X那长线来看、这两个点位，正是布局长线时机。 4 K$ b" T2 H& q; |$ D
短线也可以此为据、
7 u; B( }/ |' ^- Q（这也是近半月未做短空、） / \4 T" @7 C+ N. h; ?9 y/ t/ f
消息上、
: k5 j( W7 H- \0 k/ R" a8 T! A除bnb调查事件、 ~$ ?: u( e* \/ o4 c
近期强调最多、是多部门建议加速规范加密JG。
9 r3 K3 ]/ f( [6 ]( t紧密形成国际合作。 0 w. u; e" F$ J; ]! n
整体偏正面，有助于大饼登堂入室、 - N1 U! }) z; _
综上、整体来看、 $ W0 z% A. N, S/ @6 W8 w2 B
市场上半年经历过多利空，行情一直低迷。
. V2 v+ w5 U! q9 {9 I但看好下半年，最大问题“膨胀”得到控制。
( z! C+ A3 w- [* [+ T8 z8 {且美股回温补涨、（一般加息过后、美股反涨7%-15%） % Z% }* ?8 G9 q; S
那在9-10月开始降息。后续再停止缩表。
% m5 ~; T' l, s* W# Z( X市场必然迎来一轮较强涨幅。
9 J1 { x0 a/ P/ o( ~而六月、个人是不看好有更大利空出现。
7 y' A' d1 c4 r1 J七月、即使同步加息50基点。
6 w6 B8 d+ k7 _个人认为、市场可承受！ ; G" q3 m9 L( J2 T( t- P
同幅度利空，市场再次经历，幅度必大打折扣。 ) i5 b+ g0 F/ V2 U& ?8 t
近期重点关注周五、5月末季调cpi利率。 / ]5 L! S) Q( T
日内价格处于平均振幅偏中轨、（多空不宜） & z# s) O2 x0 ~$ _
大饼建议回踩4小时低点
4 v( x/ L P% E8 F& }29900激进接多
7 X' v" K8 [9 r. }4 a29650补仓 " {0 o6 h9 h4 K6 O3 b( d- [
防守29300 6 z) y2 J6 z! W+ H$ h5 p
目标看行情修复至30800-31500-32000 3 W2 b" h# I, V3 D
以太回踩1768激进接多
0 b) _% o" q8 O* n1745补仓 ( }" e8 s" o6 C3 v5 z& L
防守1720 3 [. v8 j! D; E
目标看行情修复至1850-1870-1900 % E; Z* x. ]5 R5 E2 J z
观点不变，熊市强硬支撑区不做追空。
- c7 g/ n- u3 ^6 h. O+ g短中线，依旧以低多为主。突破则留。反之做短。 # j ?4 \; j7 n/ J* b
看好7月加息前，市场出现阶段修复。
, \5 Q! |4 u& x7 I在7月逼近出现小幅度回撤，直至8-10月、开始较大单边涨幅。
) I. L; R; @, l+ F- g切记注意长线进场时机。
: k x% l+ o( A `, g) s来源：金色财经 |
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