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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好 3 [5 v5 H5 G k
我是币圈小沫沫~ ! U* s9 U6 e0 v- d: @* G% h9 O1 U" Q
ETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。
8 z {1 v& U0 v F
) ^7 g- i2 t ~5 t$ `2 x今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌
. w2 Z W, C/ f; Q+ `至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。
2 F7 v' L+ g: q$ \6 w1 ?
: T$ y" h7 J; U. P( g六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH 4 r. X- q4 C/ _) k2 m* V* V* R) n
该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。 5 d+ H3 {# S, q7 K, \8 n9 C
有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。
' q7 g( ?/ B" s2 ]/ d* M
! J+ L1 {/ F5 z7 D8 yOasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。 2 i( i& o- H1 V! h x
4 v. F& T9 K& d2 R0 J/ B果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。
0 y+ `6 a" P% M* q8 N" c% X有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。 6 @5 G2 ?6 ?+ Y6 `
& {7 f6 y1 G& [+ k) k+ Y0 h以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师 ) \+ } {% H6 \: H1 @7 c4 X# j
以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。
! L( j' U" m# \ [' vBrandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。 2 V+ }2 p* U! x0 z+ C. ~, v
由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。 9 |% N- r( B [2 j/ Y
+ G6 M" z/ k! d- L
Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。
' ~ t, B3 }! u尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。
- S5 u4 K/ [3 b0 H* u
, ?) n) w9 S( W8 D9 ?如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
" d* v8 f% o+ h3 c! Z! w& n相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。
) c# T) e3 L! k! g; N c' c此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。
7 F3 ~; V: \% Y好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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